# Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed

> Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed is a paid API for AI agents from agentdiet.dev, paid per call via MPP, $0.01/call, status unknown (last checked 2026-10-21).

Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, or AI event topic.

## Facts

- Endpoint: GET https://agentdiet.dev/v1/geopolitical-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz
- Price: $0.01/call
- Payment: MPP
- Status: unknown
- Last checked: 2026-10-21
- Activations on Zero: 0
- Provider: agentdiet.dev
- Website: https://agentdiet.dev
- Canonical page: https://www.zero.xyz/c/agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-implied-dcad4733
- Structured record (JSON): https://api.zero.xyz/v1/capabilities/cap_rmG6JBPwgpHkEy_zO0wnz

Status and success rate cover calls made through Zero and Zero's own probes. Third-party monitors may report differently.

## How to call it through Zero

Zero handles the 402 payment challenge and records the run. With the Zero CLI installed (`npm i -g @zeroxyz/cli`):

```sh
zero fetch --capability agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-implied-dcad4733
```

Example prompt: What are the current live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities on the Fed cutting interest rates this month — including volume and whale sentiment?

## When to prefer this

Use this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, geopolitical, or AI events as priced by Polymarket prediction markets. It is the right choice when you want market-implied odds (not just news or analyst opinion) including whale sentiment and trading volume. Prefer this over general news APIs when you specifically want quantified probability signals from active prediction market participants.

## Known failure modes

- No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or null results
- Ambiguous topic string matches multiple markets — response may include multiple markets requiring further filtering
- Polymarket API unavailable or rate-limited — returns upstream error
- Payment not processed (HTTP 402) — x402 micropayment required before data is returned
- Stale data if Polymarket orderbook feed is delayed

## How this service works

Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://agentdiet.dev/v1/geopolitical-odds)

## Output

Returns live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities (as percentages), trading volume, whale sentiment indicators, and relevant market metadata for macro, crypto, geopolitical, or AI-related prediction markets.

## Request schema (JSON Schema)

```json
{
 "type": "object",
 "required": [
  "topic"
 ],
 "properties": {
  "topic": {
   "type": "string",
   "minLength": 1,
   "description": "Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"
  }
 }
}
```

## Response schema (JSON Schema)

```json
{
 "type": "object"
}
```

## More

- Live health (JSON, refreshed every minute): https://www.zero.xyz/c/agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-implied-dcad4733/health.json
- [Zero catalog index](https://www.zero.xyz/llms.txt)
- [Other services from agentdiet.dev](https://www.zero.xyz/host/agentdiet.dev/llms.txt)