# Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed

> Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed is a paid API for AI agents from company-enrich.agentdiet.dev, paid per call via MPP, $0.01/call, status unknown (last checked 2026-10-23).

Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbook data including implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for macro, crypto, and AI events by topic keyword.

## Facts

- Endpoint: POST https://company-enrich.agentdiet.dev/v1/fomc-rate-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz
- Price: $0.01/call
- Payment: MPP
- Status: unknown
- Last checked: 2026-10-23
- Activations on Zero: 0
- Provider: company-enrich.agentdiet.dev
- Website: https://company-enrich.agentdiet.dev
- Canonical page: https://www.zero.xyz/c/company-enrich-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-d641d9f6
- Structured record (JSON): https://api.zero.xyz/v1/capabilities/cap_1-GMUlpwPFW9ih6MVFktG

Status and success rate cover calls made through Zero and Zero's own probes. Third-party monitors may report differently.

## How to call it through Zero

Zero handles the 402 payment challenge and records the run. With the Zero CLI installed (`npm i -g @zeroxyz/cli`):

```sh
zero fetch --capability company-enrich-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-d641d9f6 -d '<json body>'
```

Example prompt: What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities for the next FOMC rate decision — including volume and whale sentiment?

## When to prefer this

Use this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, political, or AI events from Polymarket's live orderbooks. Prefer this over static news or sentiment APIs when you want market-implied probabilities backed by real money and visible whale positioning. It is particularly valuable for FOMC rate decisions, crypto price milestones, election outcomes, and regulatory events where prediction market odds provide signal beyond traditional sentiment.

## Known failure modes

- No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or null result
- Stale or delayed data if Polymarket API is temporarily unavailable
- Ambiguous topic string matches multiple markets — may return the most liquid or most recent
- Payment failure via x402 protocol if USDC balance is insufficient
- Timeout if Polymarket orderbook data is slow to respond

## How this service works

Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://company-enrich.agentdiet.dev/v1/fomc-rate-odds)

## Output

Returns live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities (as percentages or decimals), total trading volume, and whale sentiment indicators for the matched prediction market event.

## Request schema (JSON Schema)

```json
{
 "type": "object",
 "required": [
  "topic"
 ],
 "properties": {
  "topic": {
   "type": "string",
   "minLength": 1,
   "description": "Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"
  }
 }
}
```

## Response schema (JSON Schema)

```json
{
 "type": "object"
}
```

## More

- Live health (JSON, refreshed every minute): https://www.zero.xyz/c/company-enrich-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-d641d9f6/health.json
- [Zero catalog index](https://www.zero.xyz/llms.txt)
- [Other services from company-enrich.agentdiet.dev](https://www.zero.xyz/host/company-enrich.agentdiet.dev/llms.txt)
