# Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed

> Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed is a paid API for AI agents from company-enrich.agentdiet.dev, paid per call via MPP, $0.01/call, status unknown (last checked 2026-10-28).

Fetches live Polymarket orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for macro, crypto, and AI prediction market events by topic keyword.

## Facts

- Endpoint: POST https://company-enrich.agentdiet.dev/v1/geopolitical-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz
- Price: $0.01/call
- Payment: MPP
- Status: unknown
- Last checked: 2026-10-28
- Activations on Zero: 0
- Provider: company-enrich.agentdiet.dev
- Website: https://company-enrich.agentdiet.dev
- Canonical page: https://www.zero.xyz/c/company-enrich-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-e869d4a0
- Structured record (JSON): https://api.zero.xyz/v1/capabilities/cap_6D98TZytiPdkQwXjdERHU

Status and success rate cover calls made through Zero and Zero's own probes. Third-party monitors may report differently.

## How to call it through Zero

Zero handles the 402 payment challenge and records the run. With the Zero CLI installed (`npm i -g @zeroxyz/cli`):

```sh
zero fetch --capability company-enrich-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-e869d4a0 -d '<json body>'
```

Example prompt: What are the current Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities on 'Will the Fed cut rates in 2025'? Pull the live orderbook and show me whale sentiment too.

## When to prefer this

Choose this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates from Polymarket's prediction market for macro, crypto, geopolitical, or AI events — especially when you want implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume depth, and whale sentiment in a single call rather than scraping Polymarket directly or using general web search.

## Known failure modes

- No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or null results
- Polymarket API upstream unavailability causing stale or failed data fetch
- Ambiguous topic keyword matching multiple unrelated markets — may return multiple or incorrect markets
- Payment failure via x402 if USDC balance is insufficient
- Rate limiting or timeout if the Polymarket orderbook is under high load

## How this service works

Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://company-enrich.agentdiet.dev/v1/geopolitical-odds)

## Output

Returns live Polymarket prediction market data including implied Yes and No probabilities derived from orderbook prices, total trading volume, whale/large-order sentiment signals, and market metadata for the queried topic or event keyword.

## Request schema (JSON Schema)

```json
{
 "type": "object",
 "required": [
  "topic"
 ],
 "properties": {
  "topic": {
   "type": "string",
   "minLength": 1,
   "description": "Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"
  }
 }
}
```

## Response schema (JSON Schema)

```json
{
 "type": "object"
}
```

## More

- Live health (JSON, refreshed every minute): https://www.zero.xyz/c/company-enrich-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-e869d4a0/health.json
- [Zero catalog index](https://www.zero.xyz/llms.txt)
- [Other services from company-enrich.agentdiet.dev](https://www.zero.xyz/host/company-enrich.agentdiet.dev/llms.txt)