# Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed

> Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed is a paid API for AI agents from company-enrich.agentdiet.dev, paid per call via MPP, $0.01/call, status unknown (last checked 2026-10-21).

Fetches live Polymarket orderbook data including implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for macro, crypto, and AI prediction market events.

## Facts

- Endpoint: GET https://company-enrich.agentdiet.dev/v1/fomc-rate-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz
- Price: $0.01/call
- Payment: MPP
- Status: unknown
- Last checked: 2026-10-21
- Activations on Zero: 0
- Provider: company-enrich.agentdiet.dev
- Website: https://company-enrich.agentdiet.dev
- Canonical page: https://www.zero.xyz/c/company-enrich-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-eaa3241f
- Structured record (JSON): https://api.zero.xyz/v1/capabilities/cap_nq1C2RkmJbjiLQfcRW_7h

Status and success rate cover calls made through Zero and Zero's own probes. Third-party monitors may report differently.

## How to call it through Zero

Zero handles the 402 payment challenge and records the run. With the Zero CLI installed (`npm i -g @zeroxyz/cli`):

```sh
zero fetch --capability company-enrich-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-eaa3241f
```

Example prompt: What are the current live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities for the next FOMC rate cut decision — including volume and whale sentiment?

## When to prefer this

Choose this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates from Polymarket's prediction market — especially for macro events (Fed rate decisions, elections), crypto events (ETF approvals, token launches), or AI policy events. Prefer this over news APIs or LLM-generated estimates when you want market-derived implied probabilities backed by actual money, orderbook depth, and whale sentiment rather than sentiment analysis or editorial opinion.

## Known failure modes

- No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or null market data
- Topic string too vague to match a specific market — returns multiple ambiguous results or no results
- Polymarket API upstream downtime — returns error or stale data
- Payment not completed via x402 — returns HTTP 402 requiring USDC payment
- Rate limit exceeded — returns HTTP 429 or equivalent error

## How this service works

Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://company-enrich.agentdiet.dev/v1/fomc-rate-odds)

## Output

Returns a structured object containing live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities, cumulative trading volume, and whale sentiment signals derived from large-order activity on the market.

## Request schema (JSON Schema)

```json
{
 "type": "object",
 "required": [
  "topic"
 ],
 "properties": {
  "topic": {
   "type": "string",
   "minLength": 1,
   "description": "Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"
  }
 }
}
```

## Response schema (JSON Schema)

```json
{
 "type": "object"
}
```

## More

- Live health (JSON, refreshed every minute): https://www.zero.xyz/c/company-enrich-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-eaa3241f/health.json
- [Zero catalog index](https://www.zero.xyz/llms.txt)
- [Other services from company-enrich.agentdiet.dev](https://www.zero.xyz/host/company-enrich.agentdiet.dev/llms.txt)
