# Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed

> Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed is a paid API for AI agents from cve-intel.agentdiet.dev, paid per call via MPP, $0.01/call, status unknown (last checked 2026-10-23).

Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for macro, crypto, and AI-related events

## Facts

- Endpoint: POST https://cve-intel.agentdiet.dev/v1/geopolitical-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz
- Price: $0.01/call
- Payment: MPP
- Status: unknown
- Last checked: 2026-10-23
- Activations on Zero: 0
- Provider: cve-intel.agentdiet.dev
- Website: https://cve-intel.agentdiet.dev
- Canonical page: https://www.zero.xyz/c/cve-intel-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-fcef45eb
- Structured record (JSON): https://api.zero.xyz/v1/capabilities/cap_IKSNONvdiq2TmnfVmS0OX

Status and success rate cover calls made through Zero and Zero's own probes. Third-party monitors may report differently.

## How to call it through Zero

Zero handles the 402 payment challenge and records the run. With the Zero CLI installed (`npm i -g @zeroxyz/cli`):

```sh
zero fetch --capability cve-intel-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-fcef45eb -d '<json body>'
```

Example prompt: What are the current live Polymarket odds and implied probabilities for 'Will the Fed cut rates in 2025?' — I want to see yes/no probabilities, volume, and any whale sentiment signals.

## When to prefer this

Use this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, geopolitical, or AI events specifically from Polymarket's prediction market. Prefer this over general news or sentiment APIs when you want financially-weighted implied probabilities and orderbook-level data rather than editorial sentiment.

## Known failure modes

- No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty results or low-confidence match
- Polymarket API unavailable or rate-limited — upstream data fetch failure
- Ambiguous topic yields multiple markets — may return top match or list of candidates
- Payment not processed — HTTP 402 response blocking access
- Very niche or newly created markets may have low volume and unreliable whale sentiment data

## How this service works

Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://cve-intel.agentdiet.dev/v1/geopolitical-odds)

## Output

Returns live Polymarket orderbook data including implied Yes and No probabilities (as percentages), current trading volume, whale sentiment indicators, and relevant market metadata for the queried topic or event keyword.

## Request schema (JSON Schema)

```json
{
 "type": "object",
 "required": [
  "topic"
 ],
 "properties": {
  "topic": {
   "type": "string",
   "minLength": 1,
   "description": "Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"
  }
 }
}
```

## Response schema (JSON Schema)

```json
{
 "type": "object"
}
```

## More

- Live health (JSON, refreshed every minute): https://www.zero.xyz/c/cve-intel-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-fcef45eb/health.json
- [Zero catalog index](https://www.zero.xyz/llms.txt)
- [Other services from cve-intel.agentdiet.dev](https://www.zero.xyz/host/cve-intel.agentdiet.dev/llms.txt)