# CyclePulse — US Manufacturing & Inventory Cycle Signal

> CyclePulse — US Manufacturing & Inventory Cycle Signal is a paid API for AI agents from api.aidress.ai, paid per call via x402, $0.05/call, status unknown (last checked 2026-09-14).

Returns the current US manufacturing and inventory cycle phase, inventory-to-sales ratios, durable goods order trends, core capex signals, and backlog context derived from US Census data.

## Facts

- Endpoint: GET https://api.aidress.ai/pay/agent_cycle_lonestaroracle_xyz
- Price: $0.05/call
- Payment: x402
- Status: unknown
- Last checked: 2026-09-14
- Activations on Zero: 0
- Tags: x402
- Canonical page: https://www.zero.xyz/c/cyclepulse-us-manufacturing-inventory-cycle-signal-e7f952df
- Structured record (JSON): https://api.zero.xyz/v1/capabilities/cap_iVvHETgthBCHt4neSFbv9

Status and success rate cover calls made through Zero and Zero's own probes. Third-party monitors may report differently.

## How to call it through Zero

Zero handles the 402 payment challenge and records the run. With the Zero CLI installed (`npm i -g @zeroxyz/cli`):

```sh
zero fetch --capability cyclepulse-us-manufacturing-inventory-cycle-signal-e7f952df
```

Example prompt: What's the current US manufacturing cycle phase — are we in restocking or destocking, and how do the latest inventory-to-sales ratios and durable goods orders look?

## When to prefer this

Choose CyclePulse when you need a pre-computed, plain-English US manufacturing cycle assessment grounded in official Census inventory and factory order data, without having to aggregate raw government datasets yourself. It is particularly useful as a companion to supply-chain stress indicators or broader macro signals when timing industrial demand, capex cycles, or commodity pull-through. Prefer it over generic macro endpoints when the specific question is about inventory accumulation/drawdown dynamics or factory order momentum.

## Known failure modes

- Census data not yet published for the current period — response may reflect prior month's data
- Network or payment authorization failure returns HTTP 402 or 5xx
- Stale data if Census MTIS or Advance M3 releases are delayed
- Empty or malformed response if the upstream data pipeline has an issue

## How this service works

US inventory & production cycle signal (bullwhip gauge)

## Output

A structured JSON response containing a plain-English cycle phase label (e.g. 'Mid-cycle / inventory building'), the manufacturing-and-trade inventory-to-sales ratio with month-over-month and year-over-year changes, a breakdown by retail/wholesale/manufacturer, new durable goods orders (total and ex-transportation), core capital goods orders ex-aircraft, order backlog data, and a summary signal sentence describing the current state of the US real economy manufacturing cycle.

## Request schema (JSON Schema)

```json
{
 "name": "CyclePulse",
 "tags": [
  "macro",
  "inventory",
  "manufacturing",
  "factory-orders",
  "cycle",
  "capex",
  "supply-chain"
 ],
 "type": "object",
 "version": "1.0.0",
 "category": "macro",
 "required": [
  "input"
 ],
 "properties": {
  "input": {
   "type": "object",
   "required": [
    "type",
    "method"
   ],
   "properties": {
    "type": {
     "type": "string",
     "const": "http"
    },
    "method": {
     "enum": [
      "GET",
      "HEAD",
      "DELETE"
     ],
     "type": "string"
    },
    "queryParams": {
     "type": "object",
     "properties": {}
    }
   }
  },
  "output": {
   "type": "object",
   "required": [
    "type"
   ],
   "properties": {
    "type": {
     "type": "string"
    },
    "example": {
     "signal": "US factory cycle: Mid-cycle / inventory building. Inventory-to-sales 1.39 (+0.01 pts YoY), core capex orders +1.9% YoY, durable goods orders +2.1% YoY.",
     "cycle_phase": "Mid-cycle / inventory building"
    }
   }
  }
 },
 "description": "US inventory & production cycle signal — the bullwhip gauge for the real economy. Returns the manufacturing-and-trade inventory-to-sales ratio and its month/year trend (total business plus retail, wholesale, and manufacturer breakdown), factory new orders for durable goods (total and ex-transportation) and core capital goods ex-aircraft (the cleanest business-investment leading indicator), the order backlog, and a plain-English cycle phase (expansion/restocking, mid-cycle, destocking/contraction risk, or bottoming). Use it to time the manufacturing cycle, anticipate industrial demand and commodity pull-through, and read restocking vs destocking — a companion to supply-chain-stress and macro data. Pay-per-call $0.05 in USDC on Base via x402. Data = US Census MTIS + Advance M3, US government public domain."
}
```

## More

- Live health (JSON, refreshed every minute): https://www.zero.xyz/c/cyclepulse-us-manufacturing-inventory-cycle-signal-e7f952df/health.json
- [Zero catalog index](https://www.zero.xyz/llms.txt)
- [Other services from api.aidress.ai](https://www.zero.xyz/host/api.aidress.ai/llms.txt)