# Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed

> Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed is a paid API for AI agents from domain-osint.agentdiet.dev, paid per call via MPP, $0.015/call, status unknown (last checked 2026-10-21).

Fetches live Polymarket orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for any macro, crypto, or AI prediction market event

## Facts

- Endpoint: GET https://domain-osint.agentdiet.dev/v1/geopolitical-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz
- Price: $0.015/call
- Payment: MPP
- Status: unknown
- Last checked: 2026-10-21
- Activations on Zero: 0
- Provider: domain-osint.agentdiet.dev
- Website: https://domain-osint.agentdiet.dev
- Canonical page: https://www.zero.xyz/c/domain-osint-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-50a6868d
- Structured record (JSON): https://api.zero.xyz/v1/capabilities/cap_WLNZCZdzJG1er7DtIuOtJ

Status and success rate cover calls made through Zero and Zero's own probes. Third-party monitors may report differently.

## How to call it through Zero

Zero handles the 402 payment challenge and records the run. With the Zero CLI installed (`npm i -g @zeroxyz/cli`):

```sh
zero fetch --capability domain-osint-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-50a6868d
```

Example prompt: What are the current live Polymarket odds and implied probability for 'Will the Fed cut rates in 2025?' — pull the Yes/No probabilities and whale sentiment.

## When to prefer this

Choose this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, geopolitical, or AI events from Polymarket's prediction market platform, especially when whale sentiment and orderbook depth context are needed alongside raw probabilities. Prefer this over general news or sentiment APIs when you want market-implied probabilities rather than news headlines or social sentiment scores.

## Known failure modes

- No matching Polymarket market found for the queried topic — returns empty or null results
- Polymarket API upstream unavailable — service may return error or stale data
- Ambiguous topic keyword matches multiple markets — response may include multiple or incorrect markets
- Payment not processed — x402 payment required before data is returned

## How this service works

Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://domain-osint.agentdiet.dev/v1/geopolitical-odds)

## Output

Returns live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic including implied Yes and No probabilities, market trading volume, and whale sentiment signals for the matched prediction market event or question.

## Request schema (JSON Schema)

```json
{
 "type": "object",
 "required": [
  "topic"
 ],
 "properties": {
  "topic": {
   "type": "string",
   "minLength": 1,
   "description": "Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"
  }
 }
}
```

## Response schema (JSON Schema)

```json
{
 "type": "object"
}
```

## More

- Live health (JSON, refreshed every minute): https://www.zero.xyz/c/domain-osint-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-50a6868d/health.json
- [Zero catalog index](https://www.zero.xyz/llms.txt)
- [Other services from domain-osint.agentdiet.dev](https://www.zero.xyz/host/domain-osint.agentdiet.dev/llms.txt)