# EconSignalPulse Divergence — Official vs Alternative Data Gap Analysis

> EconSignalPulse Divergence — Official vs Alternative Data Gap Analysis is a paid API for AI agents from econsignalpulse.vercel.app, paid per call via x402, $0.2/call, status unknown (last checked 2026-09-13).

Flags statistical manipulation and structural shifts by measuring the gap between official economic statistics and alternative real-world signals (satellite nightlights, shipping AIS, electricity consumption, flight data)

## Facts

- Endpoint: GET https://econsignalpulse.vercel.app/api/econsignal/divergence
- Price: $0.2/call
- Payment: x402
- Status: unknown
- Last checked: 2026-09-13
- Activations on Zero: 0
- Tags: x402
- Canonical page: https://www.zero.xyz/c/econsignalpulse-divergence-official-vs-alternative-data-gap-analysis-cdf9b2bd
- Structured record (JSON): https://api.zero.xyz/v1/capabilities/cap_qzZrrYFju6jRfvozzLqdR

Status and success rate cover calls made through Zero and Zero's own probes. Third-party monitors may report differently.

## How to call it through Zero

Zero handles the 402 payment challenge and records the run. With the Zero CLI installed (`npm i -g @zeroxyz/cli`):

```sh
zero fetch --capability econsignalpulse-divergence-official-vs-alternative-data-gap-analysis-cdf9b2bd
```

Example prompt: Can you run a divergence analysis on Argentina's official GDP and inflation figures versus satellite nightlights, shipping AIS, and electricity signals — I need to know if the reported numbers look credible or if there's statistical manipulation before I take a position on Argentine sovereign debt?

## When to prefer this

Choose this endpoint when you need to cross-validate official government statistics against real-world alternative data signals — specifically for sovereign debt analysis, FX positioning, or any scenario where data credibility of a government's reported figures is in question. Prefer this over pure-official-data endpoints when analyzing frontier or emerging markets, authoritarian regimes, or countries with a history of statistical revision or manipulation.

## Known failure modes

- Country not covered or insufficient alternative data signals available for the requested period
- Official statistics source unavailable or not recently updated
- Alternative data feed (satellite, AIS, electricity) has coverage gap for the requested region
- Invalid country code or unsupported time range returns 400
- Payment not processed correctly via x402 protocol returns 402
- Rate limit exceeded for the endpoint

## How this service works

Gap analysis between official statistics and alternative data (satellite nightlights, shipping AIS, electricity, flights) — flags statistical manipulation and structural shifts. For sovereign-debt and FX agents.

## Output

Returns a structured gap analysis comparing official economic statistics against multiple alternative data sources (VIIRS satellite nightlights, shipping AIS, electricity consumption, flight activity), including divergence scores, manipulation flags, structural shift indicators, and an overall credibility assessment of official data — tailored for sovereign-debt and FX decision-making.

## Request schema (JSON Schema)

```json
{
 "type": "object",
 "$schema": "https://json-schema.org/draft/2020-12/schema",
 "required": [
  "input"
 ],
 "properties": {
  "input": {
   "type": "object",
   "required": [
    "type",
    "method"
   ],
   "properties": {
    "type": {
     "type": "string",
     "const": "http"
    },
    "method": {
     "enum": [
      "GET",
      "HEAD",
      "DELETE"
     ],
     "type": "string"
    },
    "queryParams": {
     "type": "object",
     "properties": {
      "iso2": {
       "type": "string",
       "description": "ISO2 code for World Bank data"
      },
      "iso3": {
       "type": "string",
       "description": "ISO3 code for IMF data"
      },
      "lang": {
       "type": "string",
       "description": "en | es | fr | de | ja | zh | ko | pt | ar | hi (default: en)"
      },
      "country": {
       "type": "string",
       "description": "Country to analyze — e.g. \"China\" | \"Russia\" | \"Iran\" | \"Venezuela\" | \"Belarus\""
      }
     }
    }
   },
   "additionalProperties": false
  },
  "output": {
   "type": "object",
   "required": [
    "type"
   ],
   "properties": {
    "type": {
     "type": "string"
    },
    "errors": {
     "type": "object",
     "description": "Documented error responses, keyed by HTTP status code",
     "additionalProperties": {
      "type": "object",
      "required": [
       "description"
      ],
      "properties": {
       "example": {
        "type": "object"
       },
       "description": {
        "type": "string"
       }
      }
     }
    },
    "example": {
     "type": "object"
    }
   }
  }
 }
}
```

## Response schema (JSON Schema)

```json
{
 "type": "json",
 "example": {
  "query_summary": {
   "iso2": "RU",
   "iso3": "RUS",
   "country": "Russia",
   "analysis_date": "2026-06-07"
  },
  "official_claims": {
   "source": "Rosstat (Russian Federal Statistics Service)",
   "inflation_pct": 7.4,
   "unemployment_pct": 2.9,
   "gdp_growth_2023_pct": 3.6,
   "gdp_growth_2024_pct": 3.9
  },
  "alternative_signals": {
   "shipping_ais": "Baltic and Black Sea exports declined 40% by volume post-sanctions; Asian routing up 180%",
   "google_mobility": "Retail/recreation +8% above baseline; workplace mobility elevated (full employment in defense sector)",
   "nightlights_trend": "European Russia stable; Urals/Siberia industrial corridor showing elevated activity (defense production)",
   "electricity_consumption": "+3.2% YoY — broadly consistent with claimed GDP growth",
   "satellite_urban_activity": "Moscow construction activity elevated; regional cities mixed"
  },
  "divergence_assessment": {
   "verdict": "Partial divergence — GDP growth plausible but composition distorted; defense sector masks civilian economy weakness",
   "confidence": "Medium-Low",
   "credibility_max": 100,
   "key_distortions": [
    "Defense spending 7.1% of GDP in 2024 — government demand masking private sector contraction",
    "Labor market tightness is real but reflects conscription losses, not economic health",
    "Inflation likely 12-18% vs official 7.4% — price controls and basket manipulation documented"
   ],
   "credibility_score": 45
  },
  "investor_implications": "Russia GDP figures are technically accurate but deeply misleading as an investment signal. The civilian economy ex-defense has contracted. Sanctions burden is accumulating, not receding."
 }
}
```

## More

- Live health (JSON, refreshed every minute): https://www.zero.xyz/c/econsignalpulse-divergence-official-vs-alternative-data-gap-analysis-cdf9b2bd/health.json
- [Zero catalog index](https://www.zero.xyz/llms.txt)
- [Other services from econsignalpulse.vercel.app](https://www.zero.xyz/host/econsignalpulse.vercel.app/llms.txt)