# Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed

> Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed is a paid API for AI agents from email-verify.agentdiet.dev, paid per call via MPP, $0.015/call, status unknown (last checked 2026-10-21).

Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, or AI event topic.

## Facts

- Endpoint: GET https://email-verify.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-feed?utm_source=zero.xyz
- Price: $0.015/call
- Payment: MPP
- Status: unknown
- Last checked: 2026-10-21
- Activations on Zero: 0
- Provider: email-verify.agentdiet.dev
- Website: https://email-verify.agentdiet.dev
- Canonical page: https://www.zero.xyz/c/email-verify-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-b0f22d6a
- Structured record (JSON): https://api.zero.xyz/v1/capabilities/cap_8iDiOKlINhcROXimTkcI3

Status and success rate cover calls made through Zero and Zero's own probes. Third-party monitors may report differently.

## How to call it through Zero

Zero handles the 402 payment challenge and records the run. With the Zero CLI installed (`npm i -g @zeroxyz/cli`):

```sh
zero fetch --capability email-verify-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-b0f22d6a
```

Example prompt: What are the live Polymarket odds and implied yes/no probabilities for a Bitcoin ETF approval — including current volume and whale sentiment?

## When to prefer this

Choose this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, or AI events from Polymarket's prediction markets, including orderbook depth and whale activity. Prefer this over news sentiment or analyst forecasts when you want market-implied probabilities with volume backing.

## Known failure modes

- No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic — returns empty or null results
- Polymarket API unavailable or rate-limited — upstream fetch failure
- Topic query too vague to resolve a specific market — may return multiple or unrelated markets
- Payment not processed (HTTP 402) — requires x402 USDC micropayment to proceed
- Stale or delayed data if Polymarket orderbook feed is lagging

## How this service works

Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://email-verify.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-feed)

## Output

Returns live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes probability, implied No probability, current trading volume, and whale sentiment indicators for relevant macro, crypto, or AI prediction market events.

## Request schema (JSON Schema)

```json
{
 "type": "object",
 "required": [
  "topic"
 ],
 "properties": {
  "topic": {
   "type": "string",
   "minLength": 1,
   "description": "Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"
  }
 }
}
```

## Response schema (JSON Schema)

```json
{
 "type": "object"
}
```

## More

- Live health (JSON, refreshed every minute): https://www.zero.xyz/c/email-verify-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-b0f22d6a/health.json
- [Zero catalog index](https://www.zero.xyz/llms.txt)
- [Other services from email-verify.agentdiet.dev](https://www.zero.xyz/host/email-verify.agentdiet.dev/llms.txt)