# Genesis Conductor x402 — Polymarket/Manifold Prediction Market Arbitrage

> Genesis Conductor x402 — Polymarket/Manifold Prediction Market Arbitrage is a paid API for AI agents from x402-paid-service.iholt.workers.dev, paid per call via x402, $0.05/call, status unknown (last checked 2026-09-15).

Fetches and fuses prediction market data from Polymarket CLOB and Manifold Markets to identify convex YES leverage opportunities and cross-venue pricing gaps

## Facts

- Endpoint: POST https://x402-paid-service.iholt.workers.dev/api/markets
- Price: $0.05/call
- Payment: x402
- Status: unknown
- Last checked: 2026-09-15
- Activations on Zero: 0
- Tags: x402
- Canonical page: https://www.zero.xyz/c/genesis-conductor-x402-polymarket-manifold-prediction-market-arbitrage-b1e7b971
- Structured record (JSON): https://api.zero.xyz/v1/capabilities/cap_ML1cTbG1QcAzBUEfiXTdg

Status and success rate cover calls made through Zero and Zero's own probes. Third-party monitors may report differently.

## How to call it through Zero

Zero handles the 402 payment challenge and records the run. With the Zero CLI installed (`npm i -g @zeroxyz/cli`):

```sh
zero fetch --capability genesis-conductor-x402-polymarket-manifold-prediction-market-arbitrage-b1e7b971 -d '<json body>'
```

Example prompt: Pull the current Polymarket CLOB and Manifold prices for 'Will the Fed cut rates in 2025?' and show me any cross-venue gap or convex YES leverage opportunity I can act on.

## When to prefer this

Use this endpoint when you need a fused, cross-venue view of prediction market pricing — specifically when hunting for arbitrage gaps between Polymarket's CLOB and Manifold's mana markets, or when looking for convex YES leverage. Prefer this over polling each venue separately when you want gap detection logic applied automatically.

## Known failure modes

- Query too vague to match specific markets — returns empty or low-confidence results
- Market not listed on one or both venues — partial data only
- Payment not confirmed — endpoint returns 402 Payment Required
- Polymarket or Manifold API unavailable upstream — upstream timeout or error propagated
- Rate limit exceeded on upstream data source

## How this service works

Prediction fuse — Polymarket CLOB + Manifold mana, convex YES leverage + cross-venue gap

## Output

Returns fused market data combining Polymarket CLOB order book prices and Manifold mana-denominated odds for a queried event, highlighting cross-venue price discrepancies and convex YES leverage signals that a trader could act on.

## Request schema (JSON Schema)

```json
{
 "type": "object",
 "properties": {
  "query": {
   "type": "string",
   "description": "Optional JSON body for this paid call"
  }
 }
}
```

## More

- Live health (JSON, refreshed every minute): https://www.zero.xyz/c/genesis-conductor-x402-polymarket-manifold-prediction-market-arbitrage-b1e7b971/health.json
- [Zero catalog index](https://www.zero.xyz/llms.txt)
- [Other services from x402-paid-service.iholt.workers.dev](https://www.zero.xyz/host/x402-paid-service.iholt.workers.dev/llms.txt)