# Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed

> Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed is a paid API for AI agents from github-audit.agentdiet.dev, paid per call via MPP, $0.015/call, status unknown (last checked 2026-10-21).

Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, or AI event topic.

## Facts

- Endpoint: GET https://github-audit.agentdiet.dev/v1/prediction-oracle?utm_source=zero.xyz
- Price: $0.015/call
- Payment: MPP
- Status: unknown
- Last checked: 2026-10-21
- Activations on Zero: 0
- Provider: github-audit.agentdiet.dev
- Website: https://github-audit.agentdiet.dev
- Canonical page: https://www.zero.xyz/c/github-audit-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-e8b01605
- Structured record (JSON): https://api.zero.xyz/v1/capabilities/cap_ABhmnndDQxWbiwRo2XhF7

Status and success rate cover calls made through Zero and Zero's own probes. Third-party monitors may report differently.

## How to call it through Zero

Zero handles the 402 payment challenge and records the run. With the Zero CLI installed (`npm i -g @zeroxyz/cli`):

```sh
zero fetch --capability github-audit-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-e8b01605
```

Example prompt: What are the live Polymarket odds and implied probability right now for the Fed cutting interest rates in 2025 — including volume and any whale sentiment signal?

## When to prefer this

Use this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, or AI events drawn directly from Polymarket's live orderbooks. Prefer this over news sentiment or analyst forecasts when you want market-implied probabilities with volume and whale activity context. Best suited for agents doing live market intelligence, trading signal generation, or event probability lookups.

## Known failure modes

- No matching market found for the given topic keyword — empty or null result
- Stale data if Polymarket API is temporarily unavailable
- Ambiguous topic resolving to multiple markets — unclear which odds to return
- Payment failure via x402 if USDC balance is insufficient
- Rate limiting or timeout on live orderbook fetch

## How this service works

Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://github-audit.agentdiet.dev/v1/prediction-oracle)

## Output

Returns a structured response containing live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities, current trading volume, and whale/large-trader sentiment signals for the matched prediction market(s).

## Request schema (JSON Schema)

```json
{
 "type": "object",
 "required": [
  "topic"
 ],
 "properties": {
  "topic": {
   "type": "string",
   "minLength": 1,
   "description": "Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"
  }
 }
}
```

## Response schema (JSON Schema)

```json
{
 "type": "object"
}
```

## More

- Live health (JSON, refreshed every minute): https://www.zero.xyz/c/github-audit-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-e8b01605/health.json
- [Zero catalog index](https://www.zero.xyz/llms.txt)
- [Other services from github-audit.agentdiet.dev](https://www.zero.xyz/host/github-audit.agentdiet.dev/llms.txt)