# HALOWERK Monte-Carlo Bootstrap Streuung

> HALOWERK Monte-Carlo Bootstrap Streuung is a paid API for AI agents from handel.halowerk.com, paid per call via x402, $0.005/call, status unknown (last checked 2026-10-17).

Runs reproducible bootstrap Monte Carlo simulations on caller-supplied cash P&L results to compute equity-curve spread distributions.

## Facts

- Endpoint: POST https://handel.halowerk.com/v1/rechner/monte-carlo?utm_source=zero.xyz
- Price: $0.005/call
- Payment: x402
- Status: unknown
- Last checked: 2026-10-17
- Activations on Zero: 0
- Tags: x402
- Canonical page: https://www.zero.xyz/c/halowerk-monte-carlo-bootstrap-streuung-bda7c56b
- Structured record (JSON): https://api.zero.xyz/v1/capabilities/cap_PQOsiTqgmyTrsJiGQmtOq

Status and success rate cover calls made through Zero and Zero's own probes. Third-party monitors may report differently.

## How to call it through Zero

Zero handles the 402 payment challenge and records the run. With the Zero CLI installed (`npm i -g @zeroxyz/cli`):

```sh
zero fetch --capability halowerk-monte-carlo-bootstrap-streuung-bda7c56b -d '<json body>'
```

Example prompt: Run a bootstrap Monte Carlo simulation on my trading results — I have 200 historical P&L values in USD, I want 800 simulations of 50 trades each starting from $10,000 initial equity, use seed 42.

## When to prefer this

Choose this endpoint when you need reproducible, seed-controlled bootstrap Monte Carlo analysis on your own pre-computed P&L cash figures without needing market data feeds, broker connectivity, or forecasting. Ideal for quantitative analysts and trading system developers who want statistical spread analysis of historical trade results and need deterministic repeatability via seed. Not suitable for real-time price-based simulation, portfolio optimization, or trade execution.

## Known failure modes

- Seed value exceeds maximum (2147483647) — validation error
- pnl_cash array is empty or exceeds 5000 items — schema validation error
- simulations count exceeds 1000 — rejected
- trade_count or initial_equity out of allowed range — rejected
- Missing required field (seed or pnl_cash) — 400 bad request
- Payment not included or insufficient USDC — 402 Payment Required

## How this service works

Reproduzierbare Bootstrap-Streuung. Zieht mit Zurücklegen aus gelieferten Cash-Ergebnissen; Seed zwingend, höchstens 500.000 Ziehungen. Streuung ist keine Prognose. Alle Zahlen, Kurse und Vorgaben liefert der Aufrufer. Keine eigenen Kursdaten, kein Brokerzugriff, keine Ausführung. Rechenwerkzeug, keine Anlageberatung, keine Empfehlung.

## Output

Returns a distribution of simulated equity curves based on bootstrap resampling with replacement from the provided P&L array, including spread statistics such as percentile bands, min/max paths, and drawdown metrics across all simulation paths. No market data or broker access is involved; all numbers are derived purely from the caller-supplied inputs.

## Request schema (JSON Schema)

```json
{
 "type": "object",
 "properties": {
  "seed": {
   "type": "integer",
   "maximum": 2147483647,
   "minimum": 0
  },
  "pnl_cash": {
   "type": "array",
   "items": {
    "type": "number",
    "maximum": 1000000000000,
    "minimum": -1000000000000
   },
   "maxItems": 5000,
   "minItems": 1
  },
  "simulations": {
   "type": "integer",
   "maximum": 1000,
   "minimum": 1
  },
  "trade_count": {
   "type": "integer",
   "maximum": 1000,
   "minimum": 1
  },
  "initial_equity": {
   "type": "number",
   "maximum": 1000000000000,
   "minimum": 1e-12
  }
 }
}
```

## More

- Live health (JSON, refreshed every minute): https://www.zero.xyz/c/halowerk-monte-carlo-bootstrap-streuung-bda7c56b/health.json
- [Zero catalog index](https://www.zero.xyz/llms.txt)
- [Other services from handel.halowerk.com](https://www.zero.xyz/host/handel.halowerk.com/llms.txt)