# HodlOdds Crash Odds API for Solana Memecoins > HodlOdds Crash Odds API for Solana Memecoins is a paid API for AI agents from api.hodlodds.com, paid per call via x402, $0.01/call, status unknown (last checked 2026-10-30). Returns a probabilistic crash-odds score for a specific Solana pump.fun memecoin, estimating the likelihood of a 90%+ price drop within the next 60 minutes. ## Facts - Endpoint: GET https://api.hodlodds.com/v1/risk/%7Bmint%7D?utm_source=zero.xyz - Price: $0.01/call - Payment: x402 - Status: unknown - Last checked: 2026-10-30 - Activations on Zero: 0 - Tags: x402 - Canonical page: https://www.zero.xyz/c/hodlodds-crash-odds-api-for-solana-memecoins-557889a7 - Structured record (JSON): https://api.zero.xyz/v1/capabilities/cap_-TSSj2qSNH79flUwkXWiY Status and success rate cover calls made through Zero and Zero's own probes. Third-party monitors may report differently. ## How to call it through Zero Zero handles the 402 payment challenge and records the run. With the Zero CLI installed (`npm i -g @zeroxyz/cli`): ```sh zero fetch --capability hodlodds-crash-odds-api-for-solana-memecoins-557889a7 ``` Example prompt: What are the crash odds for the Solana pump.fun token with mint address 11111111111111111111111111111111pump — how likely is it to drop 90% or more in the next 60 minutes? ## When to prefer this Use this endpoint when you need a fresh, per-token probabilistic crash risk score for a specific Solana pump.fun graduate token right now. Prefer this over the last-known route when you need current odds rather than cached (up to 30-min-old) data. Prefer this over the board route when you need detailed per-token metadata (confidence, odds band, returns) rather than a summary list. Note that this endpoint costs $0.01 USDC per call via x402 and only covers SOL-quoted pump.fun graduates while public beta is active. ## Known failure modes - Token mint not covered by HodlOdds (not a pump.fun graduate or not SOL-quoted) — returns covered: false or abstains - Payment not provided or invalid x402 authorization — returns 402 Payment Required - Public beta closed (/v1/meta reports public_beta false) — access denied - Stale or unavailable model data — confidence level may be reduced or request may fail - Invalid mint address format — likely 400 Bad Request - Base USDC payment used for non-SOL experimental token — forecast not covered ## How this service works 0.04 means about 4 in 100 tokens like this one lose 90% or more of their price within the next 60 minutes. Higher means riskier, but a low number does not mean safe: smaller or slower drops are not counted, and the odds change minute by minute. Paid crash odds for covered SOL-quoted pump.fun graduates. Normal risk and board routes are fresh or free; the separate opt-in last-known route serves clearly labelled stored odds up to 30 minutes old. All examples are illustrative, not live predictions. Crash = a completed one-minute close in SOL at least 90% below the reference within 60 minutes. Odds, not guarantees. Not financial advice. Paid access is open only while /v1/meta reports public_beta true. Payment can use configured Solana or Base USDC via x402 v2 exact authorization; Base payment does not make experimental non-SOL token forecasts covered. ## Output A JSON object containing: the 60-minute crash probability (p_crash_60m, e.g. 0.031), a human-readable summary, confidence level and reasons, historical odds band (hi/lo/n), short-term price returns (ret_5, ret_60), trade count, reserve SOL (resq_sol), token age in minutes, market status, model ID and hashes, coverage metadata, and expiry timestamp. Also includes the crash definition and whether the token is covered. ## Request schema (JSON Schema) ```json { "type": "object", "properties": { "properties": { "type": "string" } } } ``` ## Response schema (JSON Schema) ```json { "type": "json", "example": { "row": { "band": { "n": 77515, "hi": 0.05, "lo": 0.02, "basis": "Historical weekly BF refits, Sep 1–Oct 14 excluding Sep 20; already-seen evidence, not this frozen fit.", "historical_observed": 0.038 }, "mint": "11111111111111111111111111111111pump", "name": "Illustrative token", "asset": "solana:5eykt4UsFv8P8NJdTREpY1vzqKqZKvdp/token:11111111111111111111111111111111pump", "chain": "solana:5eykt4UsFv8P8NJdTREpY1vzqKqZKvdp", "dd_60": 0.96, "ret_5": -0.014, "ret_60": 0.023, "symbol": "EXAMPLE", "age_min": 240, "summary": "3.1% chance of a 90%+ price drop within 60 minutes (about 3.1 in 100). Low odds are not a safety signal.", "platform": "pumpfun", "resq_sol": 125.5, "trades_5": 32, "chain_name": "Solana", "confidence": { "band": { "n": 77515, "hi": 0.05, "lo": 0.02, "obs": 0.038, "pred": 0.0337, "positives": 2945.57 }, "basis": "Historical validation of weekly BF refits, September 1 through October 14, 2026 excluding September 20; already-seen data, not measured calibration of the frozen serving fit.", "level": "high", "reasons": [], "direction": null, "rule_version": "hodlodds.confidence.v1" }, "p_crash_60m": 0.031, "market_status": "available" }, "as_of": 1792249200, "model": { "id": "example-bf-frozen", "hashes": { "meta": "bbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbb", "model": "aaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa" } }, "schema": "hodlodds.answer.v1", "covered": true, "coverage": { "active": 660, "scored": 650, "universe": "Illustrative active SOL-quoted pump.fun graduates", "abstained": 10, "experimental_quotes": [ "USDC", "PUMP" ], "experimental_scored": 75, "experimental_abstained": 4 }, "issued_at": 1792249230, "definition": "A crash is a completed 1-minute close in SOL at least 90% below the reference price within 60 minutes.", "expires_at": 1792249350, "horizon_end": 1792252800 } } ``` ## More - Live health (JSON, refreshed every minute): https://www.zero.xyz/c/hodlodds-crash-odds-api-for-solana-memecoins-557889a7/health.json - [Zero catalog index](https://www.zero.xyz/llms.txt) - [Other services from api.hodlodds.com](https://www.zero.xyz/host/api.hodlodds.com/llms.txt)