# Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed

> Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed is a paid API for AI agents from json-repair.agentdiet.dev, paid per call via MPP, $0.015/call, status unknown (last checked 2026-10-21).

Fetches live Polymarket orderbook data including implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for a given event topic or keyword.

## Facts

- Endpoint: GET https://json-repair.agentdiet.dev/v1/geopolitical-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz
- Price: $0.015/call
- Payment: MPP
- Status: unknown
- Last checked: 2026-10-21
- Activations on Zero: 0
- Provider: json-repair.agentdiet.dev
- Website: https://json-repair.agentdiet.dev
- Canonical page: https://www.zero.xyz/c/json-repair-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-ec420fcf
- Structured record (JSON): https://api.zero.xyz/v1/capabilities/cap_kxffFV_GvS9eQDI4289eB

Status and success rate cover calls made through Zero and Zero's own probes. Third-party monitors may report differently.

## How to call it through Zero

Zero handles the 402 payment challenge and records the run. With the Zero CLI installed (`npm i -g @zeroxyz/cli`):

```sh
zero fetch --capability json-repair-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-ec420fcf
```

Example prompt: What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes probability right now for 'Will the Fed cut rates in 2025'?

## When to prefer this

Choose this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability data for macro, crypto, geopolitical, or AI events from Polymarket's live orderbooks. Prefer this over static news or LLM-generated forecasts when you want market-derived implied probabilities, volume signals, and whale sentiment rather than qualitative analysis. Ideal for agents that need live prediction market intelligence as part of financial, risk, or event-monitoring workflows.

## Known failure modes

- No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or null results
- Payment not processed — HTTP 402 response if x402 USDC payment header is missing or insufficient
- Ambiguous topic yields multiple unrelated markets — may return aggregated or first-match results
- Stale data if Polymarket API is temporarily unavailable — may return cached or outdated odds
- Rate limiting or payment failure causing HTTP 402 or 429 responses

## How this service works

Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://json-repair.agentdiet.dev/v1/geopolitical-odds)

## Output

Returns a structured object with live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities, current market prices, trading volume, and whale sentiment signals for macro, crypto, geopolitical, or AI-related prediction market events.

## Request schema (JSON Schema)

```json
{
 "type": "object",
 "required": [
  "topic"
 ],
 "properties": {
  "topic": {
   "type": "string",
   "minLength": 1,
   "description": "Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"
  }
 }
}
```

## Response schema (JSON Schema)

```json
{
 "type": "object"
}
```

## More

- Live health (JSON, refreshed every minute): https://www.zero.xyz/c/json-repair-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-ec420fcf/health.json
- [Zero catalog index](https://www.zero.xyz/llms.txt)
- [Other services from json-repair.agentdiet.dev](https://www.zero.xyz/host/json-repair.agentdiet.dev/llms.txt)