# Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed

> Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed is a paid API for AI agents from llms-generator.agentdiet.dev, paid per call via MPP, $0.01/call, status unknown (last checked 2026-10-21).

Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, or AI event topic.

## Facts

- Endpoint: GET https://llms-generator.agentdiet.dev/v1/geopolitical-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz
- Price: $0.01/call
- Payment: MPP
- Status: unknown
- Last checked: 2026-10-21
- Activations on Zero: 0
- Provider: llms-generator.agentdiet.dev
- Website: https://llms-generator.agentdiet.dev
- Canonical page: https://www.zero.xyz/c/llms-generator-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-70419214
- Structured record (JSON): https://api.zero.xyz/v1/capabilities/cap_d0eYh7Th7x-j7HY9ZLVX2

Status and success rate cover calls made through Zero and Zero's own probes. Third-party monitors may report differently.

## How to call it through Zero

Zero handles the 402 payment challenge and records the run. With the Zero CLI installed (`npm i -g @zeroxyz/cli`):

```sh
zero fetch --capability llms-generator-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-70419214
```

Example prompt: What are the current Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities for a US recession happening this year — and is there any big whale activity in that market?

## When to prefer this

Choose this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, geopolitical, or AI events from Polymarket's live prediction markets, including orderbook depth and whale activity. Prefer this over news APIs or sentiment tools when you want financially-incentivized market consensus rather than opinion or media coverage.

## Known failure modes

- No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic — returns empty or null result
- Topic query too vague to match a specific market — may return multiple or unrelated markets
- Polymarket API or data feed unavailable — upstream timeout or outage
- Payment not processed (HTTP 402) — USDC payment via x402 not completed
- Stale data if Polymarket orderbook has low liquidity or market has closed

## How this service works

Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://llms-generator.agentdiet.dev/v1/geopolitical-odds)

## Output

Returns live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes/No probabilities, current market odds, 24h trading volume, and whale/large-order sentiment signals for macro, crypto, geopolitical, or AI-related prediction markets.

## Request schema (JSON Schema)

```json
{
 "type": "object",
 "required": [
  "topic"
 ],
 "properties": {
  "topic": {
   "type": "string",
   "minLength": 1,
   "description": "Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"
  }
 }
}
```

## Response schema (JSON Schema)

```json
{
 "type": "object"
}
```

## More

- Live health (JSON, refreshed every minute): https://www.zero.xyz/c/llms-generator-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-70419214/health.json
- [Zero catalog index](https://www.zero.xyz/llms.txt)
- [Other services from llms-generator.agentdiet.dev](https://www.zero.xyz/host/llms-generator.agentdiet.dev/llms.txt)