# Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed

> Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed is a paid API for AI agents from llms-generator.agentdiet.dev, paid per call via MPP, $0.01/call, status unknown (last checked 2026-10-21).

Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for a given topic or event keyword

## Facts

- Endpoint: GET https://llms-generator.agentdiet.dev/v1/prediction-markets?utm_source=zero.xyz
- Price: $0.01/call
- Payment: MPP
- Status: unknown
- Last checked: 2026-10-21
- Activations on Zero: 0
- Provider: llms-generator.agentdiet.dev
- Website: https://llms-generator.agentdiet.dev
- Canonical page: https://www.zero.xyz/c/llms-generator-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-9c5c136c
- Structured record (JSON): https://api.zero.xyz/v1/capabilities/cap_a9RlHpg-m0j4zB39kP7k5

Status and success rate cover calls made through Zero and Zero's own probes. Third-party monitors may report differently.

## How to call it through Zero

Zero handles the 402 payment challenge and records the run. With the Zero CLI installed (`npm i -g @zeroxyz/cli`):

```sh
zero fetch --capability llms-generator-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-9c5c136c
```

Example prompt: What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities for 'Will the Fed cut rates in 2025?' — include volume and whale sentiment if available.

## When to prefer this

Choose this endpoint when you need real-time, crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, or AI events sourced specifically from Polymarket's prediction market orderbooks. It is ideal for agents that need market-implied probabilities rather than model-generated forecasts, or when whale sentiment and actual trading volume are required to gauge conviction. Prefer this over general news or sentiment APIs when quantitative probability data is needed for decision-making or display.

## Known failure modes

- No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or null market data
- Stale or unavailable Polymarket data if upstream API is down — may return cached or error response
- Ambiguous topic keyword matching multiple markets — may return the most liquid or first-matching market
- Payment failure via x402 if USDC balance is insufficient — returns 402 Payment Required
- Rate limiting or quota exhaustion — returns 429 Too Many Requests

## How this service works

Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://llms-generator.agentdiet.dev/v1/prediction-markets)

## Output

Returns a structured object containing live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities, 24h trading volume, whale/large-trader sentiment signals, and relevant market metadata for matching prediction market events.

## Request schema (JSON Schema)

```json
{
 "type": "object",
 "required": [
  "topic"
 ],
 "properties": {
  "topic": {
   "type": "string",
   "minLength": 1,
   "description": "Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"
  }
 }
}
```

## Response schema (JSON Schema)

```json
{
 "type": "object"
}
```

## More

- Live health (JSON, refreshed every minute): https://www.zero.xyz/c/llms-generator-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-9c5c136c/health.json
- [Zero catalog index](https://www.zero.xyz/llms.txt)
- [Other services from llms-generator.agentdiet.dev](https://www.zero.xyz/host/llms-generator.agentdiet.dev/llms.txt)
