# LoneStarOracle CyclePulse — US Inventory & Production Cycle Signal

> LoneStarOracle CyclePulse — US Inventory & Production Cycle Signal is a paid API for AI agents from cycle.lonestaroracle.xyz, paid per call via x402, $0.05/call, status unknown (last checked 2026-09-15).

Returns the current US manufacturing-and-trade inventory cycle phase (expansion, mid-cycle, destocking, bottoming) along with inventory-to-sales ratios, durable goods orders, and core capex data

## Facts

- Endpoint: GET https://cycle.lonestaroracle.xyz/cycle
- Price: $0.05/call
- Payment: x402
- Status: unknown
- Last checked: 2026-09-15
- Activations on Zero: 0
- Tags: x402
- Canonical page: https://www.zero.xyz/c/lonestaroracle-cyclepulse-us-inventory-production-cycle-signal-722eb669
- Structured record (JSON): https://api.zero.xyz/v1/capabilities/cap_ycp7faSGXU1m3Z2CxLIrG

Status and success rate cover calls made through Zero and Zero's own probes. Third-party monitors may report differently.

## How to call it through Zero

Zero handles the 402 payment challenge and records the run. With the Zero CLI installed (`npm i -g @zeroxyz/cli`):

```sh
zero fetch --capability lonestaroracle-cyclepulse-us-inventory-production-cycle-signal-722eb669
```

Example prompt: What's the current US manufacturing inventory cycle phase — are we in restocking or destocking — and what do the latest inventory-to-sales ratio and core capex orders say about where we are in the business cycle?

## When to prefer this

Use this endpoint when you need a single authoritative signal on where the US manufacturing and inventory cycle stands — particularly for timing industrial demand, commodity pull-through, or supply-chain positioning. Prefer this over generic macro APIs when you specifically need inventory-to-sales breakdowns and core capex as a leading indicator of business investment. It consolidates Census MTIS and Advance M3 data into a single cycle-phase label, saving multi-source aggregation work.

## Known failure modes

- Upstream Census data not yet released for latest month — may return prior period data without warning
- Payment of $0.05 USDC on Base not received or x402 protocol failure — returns 402 Payment Required
- Service unavailable or cold-start latency — returns 5xx error
- Network timeout if Base blockchain confirmation is slow

## How this service works

US inventory & production cycle signal (bullwhip gauge)

## Output

Returns a JSON object with a plain-English cycle phase label (e.g. 'Mid-cycle / inventory building'), the manufacturing-and-trade inventory-to-sales ratio and its YoY trend broken down by total business, retail, wholesale, and manufacturer, factory new orders for durable goods (total and ex-transportation), core capital goods orders ex-aircraft, order backlog figures, and a narrative signal string summarizing the macro picture.

## Request schema (JSON Schema)

```json
{
 "name": "CyclePulse",
 "tags": [
  "macro",
  "inventory",
  "manufacturing",
  "factory-orders",
  "cycle",
  "capex",
  "supply-chain"
 ],
 "type": "object",
 "version": "1.0.0",
 "category": "macro",
 "required": [
  "input"
 ],
 "properties": {
  "input": {
   "type": "object",
   "required": [
    "type",
    "method"
   ],
   "properties": {
    "type": {
     "type": "string",
     "const": "http"
    },
    "method": {
     "enum": [
      "GET",
      "HEAD",
      "DELETE"
     ],
     "type": "string"
    },
    "queryParams": {
     "type": "object",
     "properties": {}
    }
   }
  },
  "output": {
   "type": "object",
   "required": [
    "type"
   ],
   "properties": {
    "type": {
     "type": "string"
    },
    "example": {
     "signal": "US factory cycle: Mid-cycle / inventory building. Inventory-to-sales 1.39 (+0.01 pts YoY), core capex orders +1.9% YoY, durable goods orders +2.1% YoY.",
     "cycle_phase": "Mid-cycle / inventory building"
    }
   }
  }
 },
 "description": "US inventory & production cycle signal — the bullwhip gauge for the real economy. Returns the manufacturing-and-trade inventory-to-sales ratio and its month/year trend (total business plus retail, wholesale, and manufacturer breakdown), factory new orders for durable goods (total and ex-transportation) and core capital goods ex-aircraft (the cleanest business-investment leading indicator), the order backlog, and a plain-English cycle phase (expansion/restocking, mid-cycle, destocking/contraction risk, or bottoming). Use it to time the manufacturing cycle, anticipate industrial demand and commodity pull-through, and read restocking vs destocking — a companion to supply-chain-stress and macro data. Pay-per-call $0.05 in USDC on Base via x402. Data = US Census MTIS + Advance M3, US government public domain."
}
```

## More

- Live health (JSON, refreshed every minute): https://www.zero.xyz/c/lonestaroracle-cyclepulse-us-inventory-production-cycle-signal-722eb669/health.json
- [Zero catalog index](https://www.zero.xyz/llms.txt)
- [Other services from cycle.lonestaroracle.xyz](https://www.zero.xyz/host/cycle.lonestaroracle.xyz/llms.txt)