# manylives.me Prediction Market Odds

> manylives.me Prediction Market Odds is a paid API for AI agents from manylives.me, paid per call via x402, $0.005/call, status unknown (last checked 2026-10-12).

Returns live prediction-market odds for the most-traded open markets or those matching a search query, including each outcome's implied probability, volume, liquidity, and end date.

## Facts

- Endpoint: GET https://manylives.me/paid/markets/predictions?utm_source=zero.xyz
- Price: $0.005/call
- Payment: x402
- Status: unknown
- Last checked: 2026-10-12
- Activations on Zero: 0
- Tags: x402
- Canonical page: https://www.zero.xyz/c/manylives-me-prediction-market-odds-9063f714
- Structured record (JSON): https://api.zero.xyz/v1/capabilities/cap_8mRIp0guFm7_zy7cuec1W

Status and success rate cover calls made through Zero and Zero's own probes. Third-party monitors may report differently.

## How to call it through Zero

Zero handles the 402 payment challenge and records the run. With the Zero CLI installed (`npm i -g @zeroxyz/cli`):

```sh
zero fetch --capability manylives-me-prediction-market-odds-9063f714
```

Example prompt: What are the current prediction market odds on bitcoin — show me the top 5 markets, including each outcome's probability, liquidity, and when they close?

## When to prefer this

Use this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for future events (elections, economic decisions, sports, crypto prices) derived from actual money at stake. Prefer it over news sentiment analysis when you want a single calibrated probability number per outcome, or when you need liquidity and volume data to assess market confidence. It is especially useful for tracking fast-moving events where prediction market odds update in real time.

## Known failure modes

- No markets found for a very narrow or misspelled search query — returns empty markets array
- Limit parameter exceeds maximum of 25 — may be clamped or return an error
- Service unavailable if underlying prediction market data sources are offline
- Stale data if market data feeds have not refreshed recently

## How this service works

Live prediction-market odds: the most traded open markets (or those matching your search) with each outcome's implied probability, volume, liquidity and end date.

## Output

A JSON array of open prediction markets, each containing the market question, a list of outcomes with names and implied probabilities (e.g. Yes: 0.62, No: 0.38), 24-hour trading volume in USD, total liquidity in USD, and the market end date.

## Request schema (JSON Schema)

```json
{
 "type": "object",
 "$schema": "https://json-schema.org/draft/2020-12/schema",
 "required": [
  "input"
 ],
 "properties": {
  "input": {
   "type": "object",
   "required": [
    "type",
    "method"
   ],
   "properties": {
    "type": {
     "type": "string",
     "const": "http"
    },
    "method": {
     "type": "string",
     "const": "GET"
    },
    "queryParams": {
     "type": "object",
     "required": [],
     "properties": {
      "q": {
       "type": "string",
       "examples": [
        "bitcoin"
       ],
       "description": "optional search words, e.g. 'election' or 'bitcoin'"
      },
      "limit": {
       "type": "string",
       "examples": [
        "5"
       ],
       "description": "optional (default 10, max 25)"
      }
     }
    }
   }
  },
  "output": {
   "type": "object",
   "required": [
    "type"
   ],
   "properties": {
    "type": {
     "type": "string",
     "const": "json"
    },
    "example": {
     "type": "object",
     "properties": {
      "markets": {
       "type": "array",
       "items": {
        "type": "object",
        "properties": {
         "ends": {
          "type": "string"
         },
         "outcomes": {
          "type": "array",
          "items": {
           "type": "object",
           "properties": {
            "name": {
             "type": "string"
            },
            "probability": {
             "type": "number"
            }
           }
          }
         },
         "question": {
          "type": "string"
         },
         "liquidity_usd": {
          "type": "number"
         },
         "volume_24h_usd": {
          "type": "number"
         }
        }
       }
      }
     }
    }
   }
  }
 }
}
```

## Response schema (JSON Schema)

```json
{
 "type": "json",
 "example": {
  "markets": [
   {
    "ends": "2026-11-03",
    "outcomes": [
     {
      "name": "Yes",
      "probability": 0.62
     },
     {
      "name": "No",
      "probability": 0.38
     }
    ],
    "question": "…",
    "liquidity_usd": 50000,
    "volume_24h_usd": 120000
   }
  ]
 }
}
```

## More

- Live health (JSON, refreshed every minute): https://www.zero.xyz/c/manylives-me-prediction-market-odds-9063f714/health.json
- [Zero catalog index](https://www.zero.xyz/llms.txt)
- [Other services from manylives.me](https://www.zero.xyz/host/manylives.me/llms.txt)