# ManyLives Prediction Market Movers

> ManyLives Prediction Market Movers is a paid API for AI agents from api.manylives.me, paid per call via x402, $0.005/call, status unknown (last checked 2026-10-12).

Returns the top prediction market contracts with the largest probability changes over a specified lookback window, filtered by volume and optional keyword.

## Facts

- Endpoint: GET https://api.manylives.me/paid/odds/movers?utm_source=zero.xyz
- Price: $0.005/call
- Payment: x402
- Status: unknown
- Last checked: 2026-10-12
- Activations on Zero: 0
- Tags: x402
- Canonical page: https://www.zero.xyz/c/manylives-prediction-market-movers-d7471fd8
- Structured record (JSON): https://api.zero.xyz/v1/capabilities/cap_gZ0wM95k7MBBKfTPtw0sy

Status and success rate cover calls made through Zero and Zero's own probes. Third-party monitors may report differently.

## How to call it through Zero

Zero handles the 402 payment challenge and records the run. With the Zero CLI installed (`npm i -g @zeroxyz/cli`):

```sh
zero fetch --capability manylives-prediction-market-movers-d7471fd8
```

Example prompt: Show me the top 5 prediction markets that moved the most over the last 6 hours, focusing on anything related to Bitcoin, with at least $5,000 in 24-hour volume.

## When to prefer this

Use this endpoint when you need to identify which prediction market contracts are currently experiencing the most probability movement within a defined lookback window — ideal for momentum trading signals, news-driven event tracking, or surfacing trending questions. Prefer it over static price feeds when you want to discover which markets are actively shifting rather than just querying a known market. Best for agents monitoring prediction market dynamics, backtesting event-driven strategies, or alerting users to fast-moving contracts.

## Known failure modes

- Missing required window_hours parameter returns a 400 or validation error
- window_hours outside 1-72 range may return an error or clamped result
- limit outside 1-10 range may be ignored or cause an error
- No movers found for given filters returns an empty movers array
- Payment not processed results in 402 Payment Required before data is served
- Very low min_volume thresholds may return illiquid or low-quality markets

## How this service works

Pay-per-call tools for people building AI agents: live web search and page contents, point-in-time crypto market data and news for backtests (no lookahead), verifiable track records of 1,000 crypto strategies locked on the Base network, company profiles, quick AI and batch prices. Ask us to turn a public website into a JSON endpoint. Pay per call, no account, free trial.

## Output

A JSON object containing a list of top-moving prediction market contracts, each with the current probability, the probability at the start of the window, the change in percentage points, the question text, the outcome label (e.g. Yes/No), and the 24-hour trading volume in USD. Also returns the window_hours used for the query.

## Request schema (JSON Schema)

```json
{
 "type": "object",
 "$schema": "https://json-schema.org/draft/2020-12/schema",
 "required": [
  "input"
 ],
 "properties": {
  "input": {
   "type": "object",
   "required": [
    "type",
    "method"
   ],
   "properties": {
    "type": {
     "type": "string",
     "const": "http"
    },
    "method": {
     "type": "string",
     "const": "GET"
    },
    "queryParams": {
     "type": "object",
     "required": [
      "window_hours"
     ],
     "properties": {
      "q": {
       "type": "string",
       "examples": [
        "bitcoin"
       ],
       "description": "optional words, e.g. bitcoin or election"
      },
      "limit": {
       "type": "string",
       "description": "optional 1-10 (default 10)"
      },
      "min_volume": {
       "type": "string",
       "description": "optional minimum 24h volume in US dollars (default 1000)"
      },
      "window_hours": {
       "type": "string",
       "examples": [
        "6"
       ],
       "description": "required lookback in hours, 1-72"
      }
     }
    }
   }
  },
  "output": {
   "type": "object",
   "required": [
    "type"
   ],
   "properties": {
    "type": {
     "type": "string",
     "const": "json"
    },
    "example": {
     "type": "object",
     "properties": {
      "movers": {
       "type": "array",
       "items": {
        "type": "object",
        "properties": {
         "now": {
          "type": "number"
         },
         "then": {
          "type": "number"
         },
         "outcome": {
          "type": "string"
         },
         "question": {
          "type": "string"
         },
         "change_pts": {
          "type": "number"
         },
         "volume_24h_usd": {
          "type": "number"
         }
        }
       }
      },
      "window_hours": {
       "type": "number"
      }
     }
    }
   }
  }
 }
}
```

## Response schema (JSON Schema)

```json
{
 "type": "json",
 "example": {
  "movers": [
   {
    "now": 0.58,
    "then": 0.41,
    "outcome": "Yes",
    "question": "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 12?",
    "change_pts": 17,
    "volume_24h_usd": 132200
   }
  ],
  "window_hours": 6
 }
}
```

## More

- Live health (JSON, refreshed every minute): https://www.zero.xyz/c/manylives-prediction-market-movers-d7471fd8/health.json
- [Zero catalog index](https://www.zero.xyz/llms.txt)
- [Other services from api.manylives.me](https://www.zero.xyz/host/api.manylives.me/llms.txt)
