# Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed

> Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed is a paid API for AI agents from mcp-compiler.agentdiet.dev, paid per call via MPP, $0.01/call, status unknown (last checked 2026-10-23).

Fetches live Polymarket orderbook data including implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for any macro, crypto, or AI event topic.

## Facts

- Endpoint: POST https://mcp-compiler.agentdiet.dev/v1/election-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz
- Price: $0.01/call
- Payment: MPP
- Status: unknown
- Last checked: 2026-10-23
- Activations on Zero: 0
- Provider: mcp-compiler.agentdiet.dev
- Website: https://mcp-compiler.agentdiet.dev
- Canonical page: https://www.zero.xyz/c/mcp-compiler-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-d091a9e1
- Structured record (JSON): https://api.zero.xyz/v1/capabilities/cap_SMXtlJC_YvWFYL1Vpvqfs

Status and success rate cover calls made through Zero and Zero's own probes. Third-party monitors may report differently.

## How to call it through Zero

Zero handles the 402 payment challenge and records the run. With the Zero CLI installed (`npm i -g @zeroxyz/cli`):

```sh
zero fetch --capability mcp-compiler-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-d091a9e1 -d '<json body>'
```

Example prompt: What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities for Bitcoin hitting $100k by end of year — including trading volume and any whale sentiment?

## When to prefer this

Choose this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates from Polymarket's active prediction markets, especially for macro events, elections, crypto milestones, or AI policy outcomes. It is preferable over news sentiment or analyst forecasts when you want market-implied probabilities backed by real financial stakes and whale-level volume signals.

## Known failure modes

- No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or null result
- Polymarket API downtime causing stale or unavailable data
- Ambiguous topic string matching multiple markets simultaneously
- Payment failure (HTTP 402) if x402 USDC balance is insufficient
- Rate limiting or timeout on high-traffic market queries

## How this service works

Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://mcp-compiler.agentdiet.dev/v1/election-odds)

## Output

Returns live Polymarket orderbook data including implied Yes and No probabilities, total trading volume, and whale sentiment signals for the queried event topic. The response reflects real-time crowd-sourced forecasts from active market participants.

## Request schema (JSON Schema)

```json
{
 "type": "object",
 "required": [
  "topic"
 ],
 "properties": {
  "topic": {
   "type": "string",
   "minLength": 1,
   "description": "Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"
  }
 }
}
```

## Response schema (JSON Schema)

```json
{
 "type": "object"
}
```

## More

- Live health (JSON, refreshed every minute): https://www.zero.xyz/c/mcp-compiler-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-d091a9e1/health.json
- [Zero catalog index](https://www.zero.xyz/llms.txt)
- [Other services from mcp-compiler.agentdiet.dev](https://www.zero.xyz/host/mcp-compiler.agentdiet.dev/llms.txt)