# Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed

> Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed is a paid API for AI agents from mcp-compiler.agentdiet.dev, paid per call via MPP, $0.01/call, status unknown (last checked 2026-10-21).

Fetches live Polymarket orderbook data including implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for any macro, crypto, or AI prediction market event.

## Facts

- Endpoint: GET https://mcp-compiler.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-live-odds-feed?utm_source=zero.xyz
- Price: $0.01/call
- Payment: MPP
- Status: unknown
- Last checked: 2026-10-21
- Activations on Zero: 0
- Provider: mcp-compiler.agentdiet.dev
- Website: https://mcp-compiler.agentdiet.dev
- Canonical page: https://www.zero.xyz/c/mcp-compiler-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-f31c1d77
- Structured record (JSON): https://api.zero.xyz/v1/capabilities/cap_gQGh4w0TKpEcRW-acrgDd

Status and success rate cover calls made through Zero and Zero's own probes. Third-party monitors may report differently.

## How to call it through Zero

Zero handles the 402 payment challenge and records the run. With the Zero CLI installed (`npm i -g @zeroxyz/cli`):

```sh
zero fetch --capability mcp-compiler-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-f31c1d77
```

Example prompt: What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities right now for Bitcoin reaching $150,000 by end of 2025? Include volume and whale sentiment if available.

## When to prefer this

Choose this endpoint when you need real-time, crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, political, or AI events from Polymarket's decentralized prediction market — particularly when you want market-implied odds (not just news sentiment) and whale/volume signals. Prefer this over general news search when you need a quantified probability rather than qualitative analysis, and over static data sources when you need live, continuously updated market prices.

## Known failure modes

- No matching market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or null market data
- Ambiguous topic string matches multiple markets — response may include multiple markets requiring disambiguation
- Polymarket API unavailability or rate limiting — endpoint may return upstream error
- Stale or illiquid market — low volume may result in unreliable implied probabilities
- Payment failure via x402 — call blocked if USDC payment is not processed correctly

## How this service works

Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://mcp-compiler.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-live-odds-feed)

## Output

Returns a structured object containing live Polymarket prediction market data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities derived from orderbook data, current trading volume, and whale sentiment indicators reflecting large-position trader activity.

## Request schema (JSON Schema)

```json
{
 "type": "object",
 "required": [
  "topic"
 ],
 "properties": {
  "topic": {
   "type": "string",
   "minLength": 1,
   "description": "Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"
  }
 }
}
```

## Response schema (JSON Schema)

```json
{
 "type": "object"
}
```

## More

- Live health (JSON, refreshed every minute): https://www.zero.xyz/c/mcp-compiler-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-f31c1d77/health.json
- [Zero catalog index](https://www.zero.xyz/llms.txt)
- [Other services from mcp-compiler.agentdiet.dev](https://www.zero.xyz/host/mcp-compiler.agentdiet.dev/llms.txt)