# Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed

> Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed is a paid API for AI agents from mesh.agentdiet.dev, paid per call via MPP, $0.01/call, status unknown (last checked 2026-10-21).

Fetches live orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment from Polymarket for any macro, crypto, or AI prediction market event.

## Facts

- Endpoint: GET https://mesh.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-live-odds-feed?utm_source=zero.xyz
- Price: $0.01/call
- Payment: MPP
- Status: unknown
- Last checked: 2026-10-21
- Activations on Zero: 0
- Provider: mesh.agentdiet.dev
- Website: https://mesh.agentdiet.dev
- Canonical page: https://www.zero.xyz/c/mesh-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-implied-5df41efa
- Structured record (JSON): https://api.zero.xyz/v1/capabilities/cap_1gbKGvU-zvK5syMPT3tYY

Status and success rate cover calls made through Zero and Zero's own probes. Third-party monitors may report differently.

## How to call it through Zero

Zero handles the 402 payment challenge and records the run. With the Zero CLI installed (`npm i -g @zeroxyz/cli`):

```sh
zero fetch --capability mesh-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-implied-5df41efa
```

Example prompt: What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities for 'Will the Fed cut rates in 2025?' — include volume and any whale sentiment signals.

## When to prefer this

Use this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates from Polymarket's decentralized prediction market for macro, crypto, political, or AI events — especially when you want implied odds, volume context, and whale sentiment rather than just news or analyst opinion.

## Known failure modes

- No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or null result
- Polymarket API unavailability or rate limiting causing stale or missing data
- Ambiguous topic keyword matching multiple unrelated markets — may return incorrect market
- Payment failure via x402 protocol resulting in 402 response and no data returned

## How this service works

Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://mesh.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-live-odds-feed)

## Output

Returns live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities (as percentages or decimals), current trading volume, and whale sentiment indicators for the matched prediction market event.

## Request schema (JSON Schema)

```json
{
 "type": "object",
 "required": [
  "topic"
 ],
 "properties": {
  "topic": {
   "type": "string",
   "minLength": 1,
   "description": "Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"
  }
 }
}
```

## Response schema (JSON Schema)

```json
{
 "type": "object"
}
```

## More

- Live health (JSON, refreshed every minute): https://www.zero.xyz/c/mesh-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-implied-5df41efa/health.json
- [Zero catalog index](https://www.zero.xyz/llms.txt)
- [Other services from mesh.agentdiet.dev](https://www.zero.xyz/host/mesh.agentdiet.dev/llms.txt)