# Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed

> Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed is a paid API for AI agents from mesh.agentdiet.dev, paid per call via MPP, $0.01/call, status unknown (last checked 2026-10-28).

Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, or AI event topic

## Facts

- Endpoint: POST https://mesh.agentdiet.dev/v1/geopolitical-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz
- Price: $0.01/call
- Payment: MPP
- Status: unknown
- Last checked: 2026-10-28
- Activations on Zero: 0
- Provider: mesh.agentdiet.dev
- Website: https://mesh.agentdiet.dev
- Canonical page: https://www.zero.xyz/c/mesh-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-implied-bc5ea596
- Structured record (JSON): https://api.zero.xyz/v1/capabilities/cap_eoJo_E-02sQejMQOPHV1y

Status and success rate cover calls made through Zero and Zero's own probes. Third-party monitors may report differently.

## How to call it through Zero

Zero handles the 402 payment challenge and records the run. With the Zero CLI installed (`npm i -g @zeroxyz/cli`):

```sh
zero fetch --capability mesh-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-implied-bc5ea596 -d '<json body>'
```

Example prompt: What are the live Polymarket odds and implied probabilities for the US 2024 election right now — give me the Yes/No percentages, volume, and how whales are positioning?

## When to prefer this

Use this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, political, or AI events as reflected by actual money on the line. Prefer this over news sentiment or LLM-based probability estimates when you want market-implied odds with volume and whale positioning signals. Ideal for trading bots, research agents, or decision-support systems that need live prediction market data without building a Polymarket integration themselves.

## Known failure modes

- Topic not found on Polymarket — no matching active market returns empty or null result
- Ambiguous topic keyword matches multiple markets — agent may need to refine the query
- Payment required error (HTTP 402) if x402 micropayment is not properly handled
- Rate limiting or service unavailability returns error response
- Stale data if Polymarket feed is temporarily delayed

## How this service works

Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://mesh.agentdiet.dev/v1/geopolitical-odds)

## Output

Returns live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities (as percentages or decimals), current trading volume, and whale sentiment indicators. The response reflects real-time market consensus and positioning by large traders on the specified event or question.

## Request schema (JSON Schema)

```json
{
 "type": "object",
 "required": [
  "topic"
 ],
 "properties": {
  "topic": {
   "type": "string",
   "minLength": 1,
   "description": "Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"
  }
 }
}
```

## Response schema (JSON Schema)

```json
{
 "type": "object"
}
```

## More

- Live health (JSON, refreshed every minute): https://www.zero.xyz/c/mesh-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-implied-bc5ea596/health.json
- [Zero catalog index](https://www.zero.xyz/llms.txt)
- [Other services from mesh.agentdiet.dev](https://www.zero.xyz/host/mesh.agentdiet.dev/llms.txt)