# Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed

> Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed is a paid API for AI agents from mesh.agentdiet.dev, paid per call via MPP, $0.01/call, status unknown (last checked 2026-10-21).

Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for a given event topic or keyword

## Facts

- Endpoint: GET https://mesh.agentdiet.dev/v1/election-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz
- Price: $0.01/call
- Payment: MPP
- Status: unknown
- Last checked: 2026-10-21
- Activations on Zero: 0
- Provider: mesh.agentdiet.dev
- Website: https://mesh.agentdiet.dev
- Canonical page: https://www.zero.xyz/c/mesh-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-implied-f291f1ab
- Structured record (JSON): https://api.zero.xyz/v1/capabilities/cap_Qa3jn2Qy9AWS11zrCOYVM

Status and success rate cover calls made through Zero and Zero's own probes. Third-party monitors may report differently.

## How to call it through Zero

Zero handles the 402 payment challenge and records the run. With the Zero CLI installed (`npm i -g @zeroxyz/cli`):

```sh
zero fetch --capability mesh-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-implied-f291f1ab
```

Example prompt: What are the live Polymarket odds and implied yes/no probability for Bitcoin hitting $100k by end of year — including current volume and whale sentiment?

## When to prefer this

Choose this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates from Polymarket's prediction market — especially for political elections, crypto milestones, macroeconomic events, or AI announcements. Prefer this over static news or LLM-generated forecasts when you want market-implied probabilities backed by actual money and orderbook depth, or when you need whale sentiment signals in addition to raw odds.

## Known failure modes

- Topic keyword matches no active Polymarket market — returns empty or null results
- Polymarket API upstream unavailable — returns a service error
- Overly vague topic yields multiple ambiguous markets with low confidence matching
- Payment not included — returns HTTP 402 payment required
- Rate limiting or abuse detection may return 429 or 403

## How this service works

Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://mesh.agentdiet.dev/v1/election-odds)

## Output

Returns live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes probability, implied No probability, current trading volume, and whale sentiment indicators for macro, crypto, political, or AI-related prediction market events.

## Request schema (JSON Schema)

```json
{
 "type": "object",
 "required": [
  "topic"
 ],
 "properties": {
  "topic": {
   "type": "string",
   "minLength": 1,
   "description": "Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"
  }
 }
}
```

## Response schema (JSON Schema)

```json
{
 "type": "object"
}
```

## More

- Live health (JSON, refreshed every minute): https://www.zero.xyz/c/mesh-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-implied-f291f1ab/health.json
- [Zero catalog index](https://www.zero.xyz/llms.txt)
- [Other services from mesh.agentdiet.dev](https://www.zero.xyz/host/mesh.agentdiet.dev/llms.txt)