# Neuroterminal Market Consensus

> Neuroterminal Market Consensus is a paid API for AI agents from api.neuroterminal.xyz, paid per call via x402, $0.02/call, status unknown (last checked 2026-09-15).

Looks up prediction market probabilities for a plain-language event or question, returning the best-matching market and its current odds

## Facts

- Endpoint: GET https://api.neuroterminal.xyz/v1/market-consensus
- Price: $0.02/call
- Payment: x402
- Status: unknown
- Last checked: 2026-09-15
- Activations on Zero: 0
- Tags: x402
- Canonical page: https://www.zero.xyz/c/neuroterminal-market-consensus-75c709ab
- Structured record (JSON): https://api.zero.xyz/v1/capabilities/cap_uilU_C2-bXIL-UQaLT4Dv

Status and success rate cover calls made through Zero and Zero's own probes. Third-party monitors may report differently.

## How to call it through Zero

Zero handles the 402 payment challenge and records the run. With the Zero CLI installed (`npm i -g @zeroxyz/cli`):

```sh
zero fetch --capability neuroterminal-market-consensus-75c709ab
```

Example prompt: What does the prediction market currently say about the probability of a government shutdown? Search for 'government shutdown' and give me the best-matching market odds.

## When to prefer this

Use this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for future events, especially political, economic, or policy events that are actively traded on prediction markets. Prefer this over news APIs when you need a quantified likelihood rather than qualitative reporting, and over LLM reasoning when you want market-derived consensus rather than model-based estimation.

## Known failure modes

- No matching market found (found: false) when the query is too niche or novel
- Low match score when the event description is ambiguous or poorly worded
- Stale probabilities if the market data is not real-time
- Payment failure via x402 protocol if USDC balance is insufficient
- HTTP 402 returned if payment is not provided

## How this service works

Paid HTTP endpoints for AI agents, settled in USDC on Base via the x402 protocol. No account, no API key — pay per call.

## Output

A JSON object indicating whether a matching market was found, the original query, and the best-matching market's details including the venue (e.g. Polymarket), the matched question text, a match confidence score (0-1), and the current probability (0-1) for the event occurring.

## Request schema (JSON Schema)

```json
{
 "type": "object",
 "$schema": "https://json-schema.org/draft/2020-12/schema",
 "required": [
  "input"
 ],
 "properties": {
  "input": {
   "type": "object",
   "required": [
    "type",
    "method"
   ],
   "properties": {
    "type": {
     "type": "string",
     "const": "http"
    },
    "method": {
     "enum": [
      "GET"
     ],
     "type": "string"
    },
    "queryParams": {
     "type": "object",
     "required": [
      "q"
     ],
     "properties": {
      "q": {
       "type": "string",
       "description": "plain-language event description"
      }
     }
    }
   },
   "additionalProperties": false
  },
  "output": {
   "type": "object",
   "required": [
    "type"
   ],
   "properties": {
    "type": {
     "type": "string"
    },
    "example": {
     "type": "object"
    }
   }
  }
 }
}
```

## Response schema (JSON Schema)

```json
{
 "type": "json",
 "example": {
  "found": true,
  "query": "government shutdown",
  "bestMatch": {
   "match": 0.667,
   "venue": "polymarket",
   "question": "Government shutdown by October 1?",
   "probability": 0.21
  }
 }
}
```

## More

- Live health (JSON, refreshed every minute): https://www.zero.xyz/c/neuroterminal-market-consensus-75c709ab/health.json
- [Zero catalog index](https://www.zero.xyz/llms.txt)
- [Other services from api.neuroterminal.xyz](https://www.zero.xyz/host/api.neuroterminal.xyz/llms.txt)