# OrcaTrace Deep Research — Polymarket Market Analysis

> OrcaTrace Deep Research — Polymarket Market Analysis is a paid API for AI agents from api.orcatrace.dev, paid per call via x402, $1/call, status unknown (last checked 2026-09-14).

Returns a $1 deep-research report on a specific Polymarket prediction market, including whale sentiment, thesis, risks, and a bottom-line confidence assessment.

## Facts

- Endpoint: GET https://api.orcatrace.dev/v1/research
- Price: $1/call
- Payment: x402
- Status: unknown
- Last checked: 2026-09-14
- Activations on Zero: 0
- Tags: x402
- Canonical page: https://www.zero.xyz/c/orcatrace-deep-research-polymarket-market-analysis-a528e023
- Structured record (JSON): https://api.zero.xyz/v1/capabilities/cap_CYVpwzm2HHPWGuw5mfoDA

Status and success rate cover calls made through Zero and Zero's own probes. Third-party monitors may report differently.

## How to call it through Zero

Zero handles the 402 payment challenge and records the run. With the Zero CLI installed (`npm i -g @zeroxyz/cli`):

```sh
zero fetch --capability orcatrace-deep-research-polymarket-market-analysis-a528e023
```

Example prompt: Pull the OrcaTrace deep research report for the Polymarket market 'next-us-iran-meeting-switzerland' — I want to see the whale view, key risks, and the bottom-line confidence level.

## When to prefer this

Choose this endpoint when you need a comprehensive, single-market deep-dive with whale-backed thesis and risk analysis — as opposed to batch market feeds or lightweight market signals. Best for pre-trade due diligence on a specific Polymarket question where you already know the market slug and want substantive narrative analysis rather than raw price data.

## Known failure modes

- Missing or invalid market slug returns an error or empty result
- Slug not found on Polymarket returns a failure response
- Payment not processed (x402 flow incomplete) results in 402 response before data is returned
- Market has insufficient whale activity, resulting in low-confidence or sparse analysis

## How this service works

Track smart money on Polymarket: whale tracking with a verifiable track record, market signals, daily digests, and $1 deep research. Pay-per-call in USDC on Base via x402 — no accounts, no API keys.

## Output

A JSON object containing the market question, a research thesis, whale view (smart money consensus), a list of risk factors, a plain-language bottom line, and a confidence level (e.g. medium/high/low). Also includes a 'cached' flag and a 'success' boolean.

## Request schema (JSON Schema)

```json
{
 "type": "object",
 "$schema": "https://json-schema.org/draft/2020-12/schema",
 "required": [
  "input"
 ],
 "properties": {
  "input": {
   "type": "object",
   "required": [
    "type",
    "method"
   ],
   "properties": {
    "type": {
     "type": "string",
     "const": "http"
    },
    "method": {
     "enum": [
      "GET"
     ],
     "type": "string"
    },
    "queryParams": {
     "type": "object",
     "required": [
      "market"
     ],
     "properties": {
      "market": {
       "type": "string",
       "description": "Polymarket market slug (from polymarket.com/market/<slug>)."
      }
     }
    }
   },
   "additionalProperties": false
  },
  "output": {
   "type": "object",
   "required": [
    "type"
   ],
   "properties": {
    "type": {
     "type": "string"
    },
    "example": {
     "type": "object"
    }
   }
  }
 }
}
```

## Response schema (JSON Schema)

```json
{
 "type": "json",
 "example": {
  "data": {
   "market": {
    "slug": "next-us-iran-meeting-switzerland",
    "question": "Will the next US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?"
   },
   "analysis": {
    "risks": [
     "…"
    ],
    "thesis": "…",
    "whaleView": "…",
    "bottomLine": "…",
    "confidence": "medium"
   }
  },
  "cached": false,
  "success": true
 }
}
```

## More

- Live health (JSON, refreshed every minute): https://www.zero.xyz/c/orcatrace-deep-research-polymarket-market-analysis-a528e023/health.json
- [Zero catalog index](https://www.zero.xyz/llms.txt)
- [Other services from api.orcatrace.dev](https://www.zero.xyz/host/api.orcatrace.dev/llms.txt)