# Orchard Data Regime Forecast

> Orchard Data Regime Forecast is a paid API for AI agents from orchard-data.letom1176.workers.dev, paid per call via x402, $0.01/call, status unknown (last checked 2026-09-14).

Returns a market regime forecast including VIX level, trend direction, and volatility prediction with probability scores.

## Facts

- Endpoint: GET https://orchard-data.letom1176.workers.dev/api/regime-forecast
- Price: $0.01/call
- Payment: x402
- Status: unknown
- Last checked: 2026-09-14
- Activations on Zero: 0
- Tags: x402
- Canonical page: https://www.zero.xyz/c/orchard-data-regime-forecast-6b6ac016
- Structured record (JSON): https://api.zero.xyz/v1/capabilities/cap_wo_aRiVUOZ9kqyOPo0Cbt

Status and success rate cover calls made through Zero and Zero's own probes. Third-party monitors may report differently.

## How to call it through Zero

Zero handles the 402 payment challenge and records the run. With the Zero CLI installed (`npm i -g @zeroxyz/cli`):

```sh
zero fetch --capability orchard-data-regime-forecast-6b6ac016
```

Example prompt: What's the current market regime — is the market trending up or down, and does the model think volatility is going to stay calm? Give me the VIX reading and the probability score too.

## When to prefer this

Choose this endpoint when you need a quick, structured market regime signal combining both a rules-based VIX/trend indicator and an AI model forecast in a single call. It is ideal for agents that need to make conditional decisions based on market conditions (e.g. switch strategies, adjust risk) without ingesting raw market data themselves. At $0.01 per call it is cost-effective for frequent polling or pre-trade checks.

## Known failure modes

- Payment not provided or invalid — returns HTTP 402 requiring USDC payment via x402 protocol
- Network or upstream model failure — may return 5xx error with no forecast data
- Stale or delayed model output if underlying data feed is lagging
- Malformed response if the lite model and full model disagree or one is unavailable

## How this service works

Market data for AI agents, paid per-call via x402 (USDC on Base). Free index at /, free spec here.

## Output

A JSON object containing a source label (e.g. 'model+lite'), a 'regime_lite' block with current VIX value, trend direction (e.g. 'uptrend'), and volatility regime label (e.g. 'normal'), plus a 'model_forecast' block with a volatility prediction (e.g. 'calm'), its probability score (0–1), and an array of human-readable reasons explaining the forecast.

## Request schema (JSON Schema)

```json
{
 "type": "object",
 "properties": {
  "properties": {
   "type": "string"
  }
 }
}
```

## Response schema (JSON Schema)

```json
{
 "type": "json",
 "example": {
  "source": "model+lite",
  "regime_lite": {
   "vix": 16.9,
   "trend": "uptrend",
   "vol_regime": "normal"
  },
  "model_forecast": {
   "why": [
    "..."
   ],
   "volatility": {
    "prediction": "calm",
    "probability": 0.72
   }
  }
 }
}
```

## More

- Live health (JSON, refreshed every minute): https://www.zero.xyz/c/orchard-data-regime-forecast-6b6ac016/health.json
- [Zero catalog index](https://www.zero.xyz/llms.txt)
- [Other services from orchard-data.letom1176.workers.dev](https://www.zero.xyz/host/orchard-data.letom1176.workers.dev/llms.txt)