# Predge Consensus Signals — Smart Money Flow on Polymarket

> Predge Consensus Signals — Smart Money Flow on Polymarket is a paid API for AI agents from api.predge.io, paid per call via x402, $0.03/call, status unknown (last checked 2026-09-14).

Returns consensus signals showing where smart/whale wallets are positioning on Polymarket prediction markets, including net flow, smart money direction, and market prices across a 24-hour window.

## Facts

- Endpoint: GET https://api.predge.io/v1/signals/consensus
- Price: $0.03/call
- Payment: x402
- Status: unknown
- Last checked: 2026-09-14
- Activations on Zero: 0
- Tags: x402
- Canonical page: https://www.zero.xyz/c/predge-consensus-signals-smart-money-flow-on-polymarket-a5dca504
- Structured record (JSON): https://api.zero.xyz/v1/capabilities/cap_iQABzUqyg9qvFL2zGHiqc

Status and success rate cover calls made through Zero and Zero's own probes. Third-party monitors may report differently.

## How to call it through Zero

Zero handles the 402 payment challenge and records the run. With the Zero CLI installed (`npm i -g @zeroxyz/cli`):

```sh
zero fetch --capability predge-consensus-signals-smart-money-flow-on-polymarket-a5dca504
```

Example prompt: Pull the latest Predge consensus signals and show me which Polymarket markets smart wallets are betting on right now, including their net flow and whether the edge is on yes or no.

## When to prefer this

Choose this endpoint when you need aggregated smart-money consensus across multiple Polymarket markets rather than raw trade data for a single wallet or market. It is ideal for agents that want a curated signal layer — pre-scored by Wilson-bound edge methodology — rather than building their own whale-detection heuristics. Prefer this over raw blockchain data when you want directional conviction signals (yes/no flow) with wallet quality weighting already applied.

## Known failure modes

- Insufficient data flag returned when not enough resolved outcomes exist to score wallets (insufficient_data: true)
- Empty markets array if no markets meet smart money thresholds in the 24-hour window
- 402 Payment Required if USDC payment of $0.03 not included in request
- Invalid or malformed properties filter parameter returns schema validation error
- Stale or delayed data if upstream Polymarket data pipeline lags

## How this service works

Real-time alerts on whale traders on Polymarket. Heuristic Insider Watch, wallet scoring 0–100, Bloomberg-style web terminal. Free plan included.

## Output

Returns a JSON array of prediction markets with smart money positioning data including: market title, category, platform, directional call (yes/no), condition ID, net USD flow, smart yes/no USD amounts, smart wallet count, and current yes price. Also includes metadata on the smart money methodology (Wilson-95%-lower-bound edge scoring), qualifying wallet count (474), edge window (30 days), and whether sufficient data exists.

## Request schema (JSON Schema)

```json
{
 "type": "object",
 "properties": {
  "properties": {
   "type": "string"
  }
 }
}
```

## Response schema (JSON Schema)

```json
{
 "type": "json",
 "example": {
  "markets": [
   {
    "title": "Will the Fed cut rates in September?",
    "category": "economics",
    "platform": "polymarket",
    "direction": "yes",
    "condition_id": "0x178a746e2b342c25b1d78d0f0d0ea77157c9b6d40b2e97ffbf827cd7f9994c39",
    "net_flow_usd": 143000,
    "smart_no_usd": 41000,
    "smart_wallets": 6,
    "smart_yes_usd": 184000,
    "market_yes_price": 0.62
   }
  ],
  "smart_money": {
   "basis": "edge_lower_bound",
   "definition": "smart money = a wallet whose luck-damped realized edge over the trailing window is positive (Wilson-95%-lower-bound(win rate) − avg entry price > min_edge_lower_bound), from RESOLVED outcomes — not the opaque scorer score",
   "min_trades": 10,
   "min_volume_usd": 1000,
   "edge_window_days": 30,
   "qualifying_wallets": 474,
   "min_edge_lower_bound": 0
  },
  "window_hours": 24,
  "insufficient_data": false
 }
}
```

## More

- Live health (JSON, refreshed every minute): https://www.zero.xyz/c/predge-consensus-signals-smart-money-flow-on-polymarket-a5dca504/health.json
- [Zero catalog index](https://www.zero.xyz/llms.txt)
- [Other services from api.predge.io](https://www.zero.xyz/host/api.predge.io/llms.txt)