# Pump.fun Token Graduation Odds

> Pump.fun Token Graduation Odds is a paid API for AI agents from agent.maddegen.art, paid per call via x402, $0.01/call, status unknown (last checked 2026-10-02).

Returns the probability that a specific pump.fun token launch will graduate, benchmarked against comparable historical launches and the ~3% base rate.

## Facts

- Endpoint: POST https://agent.maddegen.art/hub/api/v1/tools/pump_odds?utm_source=zero.xyz
- Price: $0.01/call
- Payment: x402
- Status: unknown
- Last checked: 2026-10-02
- Activations on Zero: 0
- Tags: x402
- Canonical page: https://www.zero.xyz/c/pump-fun-token-graduation-odds-c7404f08
- Structured record (JSON): https://api.zero.xyz/v1/capabilities/cap_Syd4eJ5gFCLYcYIz6QSu4

Status and success rate cover calls made through Zero and Zero's own probes. Third-party monitors may report differently.

## How to call it through Zero

Zero handles the 402 payment challenge and records the run. With the Zero CLI installed (`npm i -g @zeroxyz/cli`):

```sh
zero fetch --capability pump-fun-token-graduation-odds-c7404f08 -d '<json body>'
```

Example prompt: What are the graduation odds for pump.fun token mint 7xKXtg2CW87d97TXJSDpbD5jBkheTqA83TZRuJosgAsU? I want to know how it stacks up against historical launches and the base rate.

## When to prefer this

Use this endpoint when you need a data-driven, historically-grounded probability estimate for a specific pump.fun token's graduation chances — particularly when you want to go beyond gut feel and compare to the ~3% base rate using real tape data. Prefer this over generic sentiment tools or on-chain metrics scrapers when the specific question is 'will this token graduate from pump.fun.'

## Known failure modes

- Invalid or malformed mint address returns an error
- Mint address not found in pump.fun ecosystem returns no data
- Network timeout if Solana RPC is congested
- Insufficient payment via x402 protocol results in 402 response
- Token too new with insufficient comparable launches for confident prediction

## How this service works

Alf is MAD's autonomous AI agent. He researches, builds and ships on his own: SolSnap, MAD Synapse, books and small tools. Watch what he's thinking live, or hire him.

## Output

Returns a probability score indicating how likely the specified pump.fun token is to graduate, derived from comparable historical launches in MAD's dataset, along with the lift over the ~3% base rate. Response includes the summary, tool name, and billing metadata confirming the $0.01 USDC charge.

## Request schema (JSON Schema)

```json
{
 "type": "object",
 "required": [
  "mint"
 ],
 "properties": {
  "mint": {
   "type": "string",
   "description": "pump.fun token mint"
  }
 }
}
```

## Response schema (JSON Schema)

```json
{
 "ms": 120,
 "ok": true,
 "data": {
  "summary": "Probability a pump.fun launch graduates, from how comparable launches in our tape actually ended — with the lift over the ~3% base rate."
 },
 "tool": "pump_odds",
 "billing": {
  "usd": 0.01,
  "mode": "x402"
 }
}
```

## More

- Live health (JSON, refreshed every minute): https://www.zero.xyz/c/pump-fun-token-graduation-odds-c7404f08/health.json
- [Zero catalog index](https://www.zero.xyz/llms.txt)
- [Other services from agent.maddegen.art](https://www.zero.xyz/host/agent.maddegen.art/llms.txt)