# Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed

> Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed is a paid API for AI agents from sec-intel.agentdiet.dev, paid per call via MPP, $0.01/call, status unknown (last checked 2026-10-21).

Fetches live Polymarket orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for any macro, crypto, or AI prediction market event

## Facts

- Endpoint: GET https://sec-intel.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-live-odds-feed?utm_source=zero.xyz
- Price: $0.01/call
- Payment: MPP
- Status: unknown
- Last checked: 2026-10-21
- Activations on Zero: 0
- Provider: sec-intel.agentdiet.dev
- Website: https://sec-intel.agentdiet.dev
- Canonical page: https://www.zero.xyz/c/sec-intel-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-8f0b2ee5
- Structured record (JSON): https://api.zero.xyz/v1/capabilities/cap_cCq4qWvNfvWBbODRFEP48

Status and success rate cover calls made through Zero and Zero's own probes. Third-party monitors may report differently.

## How to call it through Zero

Zero handles the 402 payment challenge and records the run. With the Zero CLI installed (`npm i -g @zeroxyz/cli`):

```sh
zero fetch --capability sec-intel-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-8f0b2ee5
```

Example prompt: What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probability for Bitcoin reaching $150k by end of 2025? I want to see the current volume and whale sentiment too.

## When to prefer this

Choose this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for specific future events — especially macro, crypto, or AI-related outcomes — and want orderbook-level detail including volume and whale positioning. Prefer this over news sentiment tools when you want a financial market's implied probability rather than qualitative opinion, and over static odds providers when you need live Polymarket-specific data.

## Known failure modes

- No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or null result
- Polymarket API upstream outage causing stale or unavailable data
- Ambiguous topic keyword matching multiple markets — may return multiple or incorrect markets
- Rate limiting or payment failure if x402 micropayment is not properly handled
- Topic string too vague to resolve to a specific market

## How this service works

Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://sec-intel.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-live-odds-feed)

## Output

Returns live Polymarket orderbook data including implied Yes and No probabilities (as percentages or decimals), current trading volume, whale sentiment indicators, and market metadata for the queried prediction market topic or event

## Request schema (JSON Schema)

```json
{
 "type": "object",
 "required": [
  "topic"
 ],
 "properties": {
  "topic": {
   "type": "string",
   "minLength": 1,
   "description": "Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"
  }
 }
}
```

## Response schema (JSON Schema)

```json
{
 "type": "object"
}
```

## More

- Live health (JSON, refreshed every minute): https://www.zero.xyz/c/sec-intel-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-8f0b2ee5/health.json
- [Zero catalog index](https://www.zero.xyz/llms.txt)
- [Other services from sec-intel.agentdiet.dev](https://www.zero.xyz/host/sec-intel.agentdiet.dev/llms.txt)