# Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed

> Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed is a paid API for AI agents from shopify-intel.agentdiet.dev, paid per call via MPP, $0.01/call, status unknown (last checked 2026-10-21).

Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbook data, Yes/No implied probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for macro, crypto, and AI events by topic keyword.

## Facts

- Endpoint: GET https://shopify-intel.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-alpha?utm_source=zero.xyz
- Price: $0.01/call
- Payment: MPP
- Status: unknown
- Last checked: 2026-10-21
- Activations on Zero: 0
- Provider: shopify-intel.agentdiet.dev
- Website: https://shopify-intel.agentdiet.dev
- Canonical page: https://www.zero.xyz/c/shopify-intel-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-7b5ac303
- Structured record (JSON): https://api.zero.xyz/v1/capabilities/cap_nu6wNJfFhoNWIooG09nto

Status and success rate cover calls made through Zero and Zero's own probes. Third-party monitors may report differently.

## How to call it through Zero

Zero handles the 402 payment challenge and records the run. With the Zero CLI installed (`npm i -g @zeroxyz/cli`):

```sh
zero fetch --capability shopify-intel-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-7b5ac303
```

Example prompt: What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities right now for 'Will the Fed cut interest rates in 2025'? Pull the orderbook and whale sentiment too.

## When to prefer this

Use this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, AI, or geopolitical events from Polymarket's decentralized prediction market. Prefer this over static news or analyst forecasts when you want market-implied probabilities backed by actual financial stakes and whale activity signals.

## Known failure modes

- Topic keyword matches no active Polymarket market — returns empty or null result
- Ambiguous topic string matches multiple markets — may return aggregated or first-matched result
- Polymarket API downtime causes stale or unavailable data
- Payment failure via x402 returns 402 status before data is delivered
- Rate limiting or quota exhaustion returns an error response

## How this service works

Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://shopify-intel.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-alpha)

## Output

Returns a JSON object containing live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes/No probabilities (as percentages or decimals), total trading volume, and whale sentiment indicators for the matched prediction market event.

## Request schema (JSON Schema)

```json
{
 "type": "object",
 "required": [
  "topic"
 ],
 "properties": {
  "topic": {
   "type": "string",
   "minLength": 1,
   "description": "Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"
  }
 }
}
```

## Response schema (JSON Schema)

```json
{
 "type": "object"
}
```

## More

- Live health (JSON, refreshed every minute): https://www.zero.xyz/c/shopify-intel-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-7b5ac303/health.json
- [Zero catalog index](https://www.zero.xyz/llms.txt)
- [Other services from shopify-intel.agentdiet.dev](https://www.zero.xyz/host/shopify-intel.agentdiet.dev/llms.txt)