# Stratalize FOMC Rate Scenario Probability

> Stratalize FOMC Rate Scenario Probability is a paid API for AI agents from www.stratalize.com, paid per call via x402, $0.02/call, status unknown (last checked 2026-09-16).

Returns illustrative cut, hike, and hold probabilities for the next three FOMC meetings based on current FRED fed funds data, with a cryptographic ML-DSA-65 signature for verification.

## Facts

- Endpoint: GET https://www.stratalize.com/api/x402/fomc-rate-probability
- Price: $0.02/call
- Payment: x402
- Status: unknown
- Last checked: 2026-09-16
- Activations on Zero: 0
- Tags: x402
- Canonical page: https://www.zero.xyz/c/stratalize-fomc-rate-scenario-probability-1e180a4b
- Structured record (JSON): https://api.zero.xyz/v1/capabilities/cap_FckqHTRihZa92uOxXOMh_

Status and success rate cover calls made through Zero and Zero's own probes. Third-party monitors may report differently.

## How to call it through Zero

Zero handles the 402 payment challenge and records the run. With the Zero CLI installed (`npm i -g @zeroxyz/cli`):

```sh
zero fetch --capability stratalize-fomc-rate-scenario-probability-1e180a4b
```

Example prompt: What are the cut, hike, and hold probabilities for the next three FOMC meetings based on current FRED fed funds data — and can I get a cryptographic receipt so I can verify the result?

## When to prefer this

Use this endpoint when a macro or monetary policy agent needs illustrative FOMC rate scenario probabilities (cut/hike/hold) grounded in FRED fed funds data, with cryptographic verifiability. Prefer this over market-implied futures data when you need a narrative/scenario planning context rather than live market pricing. Ideal for investment memos, macro research, compliance-conscious workflows, or any agent that needs a signed, auditable monetary policy signal.

## Known failure modes

- FRED data unavailable or stale — endpoint may return degraded freshness signal
- Payment not processed — x402 payment required before data is returned
- Invalid or expired cryptographic signature — verification at trust.stratalize.com/verify fails
- Network timeout — retry with backoff
- Unexpected schema change in FRED source data — probabilities may be unavailable

## How this service works

Stratalize — attested finance, legal, healthcare, and compliance intelligence. Signed, independently verifiable receipt on every call (trust.stratalize.com/verify). FOMC rate scenario probabilities — cut, hike, and hold paths for the next three meetings from current FRED fed funds data. Source: FRED. Scenario planning tool, not futures-implied market odds

## Output

Returns illustrative scenario probabilities (cut, hike, hold) for each of the next three FOMC meetings derived from current FRED fed funds data, along with a freshness timestamp, data source label, a cryptographic receipt ID, and a verification URL at trust.stratalize.com/verify. The response is ML-DSA-65 signed and independently verifiable. Note: these are scenario-planning estimates, not futures-implied market odds.

## Request schema (JSON Schema)

```json
{
 "type": "object",
 "properties": {
  "meeting_horizon": {
   "enum": [
    "next_meeting",
    "next_two",
    "year_end"
   ],
   "type": "string",
   "description": "FOMC meeting horizon for rate probability snapshot"
  }
 }
}
```

## More

- Live health (JSON, refreshed every minute): https://www.zero.xyz/c/stratalize-fomc-rate-scenario-probability-1e180a4b/health.json
- [Zero catalog index](https://www.zero.xyz/llms.txt)
- [Other services from www.stratalize.com](https://www.zero.xyz/host/www.stratalize.com/llms.txt)