# SYNTHORA Manifold Prediction Markets Search

> SYNTHORA Manifold Prediction Markets Search is a paid API for AI agents from manifold-markets-search.hergertsynthora.com, paid per call via x402, $0.001/call, status unknown (last checked 2026-09-15).

Searches Manifold Markets prediction questions by keyword and returns live probability, liquidity, close time, and outcome type for matching markets

## Facts

- Endpoint: POST https://manifold-markets-search.hergertsynthora.com/service
- Price: $0.001/call
- Payment: x402
- Status: unknown
- Last checked: 2026-09-15
- Activations on Zero: 0
- Tags: x402
- Canonical page: https://www.zero.xyz/c/synthora-manifold-prediction-markets-search-3394d799
- Structured record (JSON): https://api.zero.xyz/v1/capabilities/cap_Ql_iGb3m2uQMTKXn3dB9x

Status and success rate cover calls made through Zero and Zero's own probes. Third-party monitors may report differently.

## How to call it through Zero

Zero handles the 402 payment challenge and records the run. With the Zero CLI installed (`npm i -g @zeroxyz/cli`):

```sh
zero fetch --capability synthora-manifold-prediction-markets-search-3394d799 -d '<json body>'
```

Example prompt: Search Manifold Markets for the top 10 prediction questions about AI regulation and show me the current probability and close date for each one.

## When to prefer this

Choose this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates from Manifold Markets for a specific topic without needing a Manifold API key. It is ideal for autonomous forecasting agents, A2A signal pipelines, or dashboards that need live prediction market data across politics, tech, sports, and economics without building direct Manifold integration. Prefer this over scraping Manifold directly or building your own integration when low-latency, keyless access and structured JSON output are priorities.

## Known failure modes

- Empty result set if search term matches no active markets
- Stale or delayed probabilities if upstream Manifold API is slow or rate-limited
- Invalid or missing 'term' field causes request failure
- Upstream api.manifold.markets outage returns error or empty result
- Very broad search terms may return low-relevance markets mixed with relevant ones

## How this service works

Returns live Manifold Markets prediction questions matching a search term with current probability, liquidity, close time, and outcome type, sourced keylessly from api.manifold.markets/v0. Feeds autonomous forecasting agents and A2A signal pipelines real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for a ranking surface across events, politics, tech, and sports. First 3 calls FREE per wallet — send header X-WALLET: 0x<addr>. No charge on upstream failure.

## Output

Returns a JSON object with an 'ok' status flag and a 'result' payload containing a list of Manifold Markets prediction questions matching the search term, each including the question title, current probability estimate, liquidity, market close time, and outcome type (binary, multiple-choice, numeric, etc.)

## Request schema (JSON Schema)

```json
{
 "type": "object",
 "properties": {
  "term": {
   "type": "string",
   "description": "term"
  },
  "limit": {
   "type": "integer",
   "description": "limit"
  }
 }
}
```

## Response schema (JSON Schema)

```json
{
 "type": "json",
 "example": {
  "ok": true,
  "niche": "manifold-markets-search",
  "result": {}
 }
}
```

## More

- Live health (JSON, refreshed every minute): https://www.zero.xyz/c/synthora-manifold-prediction-markets-search-3394d799/health.json
- [Zero catalog index](https://www.zero.xyz/llms.txt)
- [Other services from manifold-markets-search.hergertsynthora.com](https://www.zero.xyz/host/manifold-markets-search.hergertsynthora.com/llms.txt)