# Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed

> Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed is a paid API for AI agents from token-intel.agentdiet.dev, paid per call via MPP, $0.01/call, status unknown (last checked 2026-10-21).

Fetches real-time Polymarket orderbook data including implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, or AI event topic.

## Facts

- Endpoint: GET https://token-intel.agentdiet.dev/v1/fomc-rate-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz
- Price: $0.01/call
- Payment: MPP
- Status: unknown
- Last checked: 2026-10-21
- Activations on Zero: 0
- Provider: token-intel.agentdiet.dev
- Website: https://token-intel.agentdiet.dev
- Canonical page: https://www.zero.xyz/c/token-intel-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-a1fc455b
- Structured record (JSON): https://api.zero.xyz/v1/capabilities/cap_UxXTekKC6Wts3emwAq-3O

Status and success rate cover calls made through Zero and Zero's own probes. Third-party monitors may report differently.

## How to call it through Zero

Zero handles the 402 payment challenge and records the run. With the Zero CLI installed (`npm i -g @zeroxyz/cli`):

```sh
zero fetch --capability token-intel-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-a1fc455b
```

Example prompt: What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities right now for the FOMC rate cut at the next Fed meeting — including volume and how whales are positioned?

## When to prefer this

Use this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, political, or AI events from Polymarket specifically — especially when you want orderbook-level data including whale positioning and volume, rather than just headline odds. Prefer this over generic news or sentiment APIs when you want market-implied probabilities backed by real money.

## Known failure modes

- No active Polymarket market found for the given topic — returns empty or null results
- Ambiguous topic keyword matches multiple markets — may return aggregated or first-match data
- Polymarket API upstream unavailability — may result in stale or error response
- Payment failure via x402 — HTTP 402 returned if USDC micropayment not completed
- Overly broad or vague topic input yields low-confidence or irrelevant market data

## How this service works

Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://token-intel.agentdiet.dev/v1/fomc-rate-odds)

## Output

Returns a structured object containing live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities, total trading volume, and whale sentiment indicators reflecting large-position activity.

## Request schema (JSON Schema)

```json
{
 "type": "object",
 "required": [
  "topic"
 ],
 "properties": {
  "topic": {
   "type": "string",
   "minLength": 1,
   "description": "Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"
  }
 }
}
```

## Response schema (JSON Schema)

```json
{
 "type": "object"
}
```

## More

- Live health (JSON, refreshed every minute): https://www.zero.xyz/c/token-intel-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-a1fc455b/health.json
- [Zero catalog index](https://www.zero.xyz/llms.txt)
- [Other services from token-intel.agentdiet.dev](https://www.zero.xyz/host/token-intel.agentdiet.dev/llms.txt)