# Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed

> Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed is a paid API for AI agents from x402-audit.agentdiet.dev, paid per call via MPP, $0.01/call, status unknown (last checked 2026-10-23).

Fetches live Polymarket prediction market implied Yes/No probabilities, orderbook data, volume, and whale sentiment for macro, crypto, and AI events by topic keyword.

## Facts

- Endpoint: POST https://x402-audit.agentdiet.dev/v1/geopolitical-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz
- Price: $0.01/call
- Payment: MPP
- Status: unknown
- Last checked: 2026-10-23
- Activations on Zero: 0
- Provider: x402-audit.agentdiet.dev
- Website: https://x402-audit.agentdiet.dev
- Canonical page: https://www.zero.xyz/c/x402-audit-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-a70955ad
- Structured record (JSON): https://api.zero.xyz/v1/capabilities/cap_YlG6bbJYoM8v90XHmS8Ed

Status and success rate cover calls made through Zero and Zero's own probes. Third-party monitors may report differently.

## How to call it through Zero

Zero handles the 402 payment challenge and records the run. With the Zero CLI installed (`npm i -g @zeroxyz/cli`):

```sh
zero fetch --capability x402-audit-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-a70955ad -d '<json body>'
```

Example prompt: What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities for Bitcoin reaching $150k before end of 2025 — including volume and any whale sentiment signals?

## When to prefer this

Choose this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, geopolitical, or AI events from Polymarket's live prediction market. Prefer this over news sentiment endpoints when you need quantified probabilistic odds backed by actual money at stake, or when you want whale/large-trader positioning data rather than media sentiment.

## Known failure modes

- No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic — returns empty or null market data
- Polymarket API upstream unavailable — may return 502 or timeout
- Ambiguous topic string matches multiple markets — response may include multiple markets requiring agent disambiguation
- Payment not processed or x402 auth failure — returns 402 Payment Required
- Rate limiting or quota exceeded — returns 429 Too Many Requests

## How this service works

Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://x402-audit.agentdiet.dev/v1/geopolitical-odds)

## Output

Returns live Polymarket prediction market data for the queried topic, including implied Yes probability, implied No probability, current orderbook state, trading volume, and whale-level sentiment signals for matching markets.

## Request schema (JSON Schema)

```json
{
 "type": "object",
 "required": [
  "topic"
 ],
 "properties": {
  "topic": {
   "type": "string",
   "minLength": 1,
   "description": "Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"
  }
 }
}
```

## Response schema (JSON Schema)

```json
{
 "type": "object"
}
```

## More

- Live health (JSON, refreshed every minute): https://www.zero.xyz/c/x402-audit-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-a70955ad/health.json
- [Zero catalog index](https://www.zero.xyz/llms.txt)
- [Other services from x402-audit.agentdiet.dev](https://www.zero.xyz/host/x402-audit.agentdiet.dev/llms.txt)