# x402-factory Crypto Probability Movers

> x402-factory Crypto Probability Movers is a paid API for AI agents from x402-factory.com, paid per call via x402, $0.02/call, status unknown (last checked 2026-09-15).

Returns the biggest absolute probability moves in crypto prediction markets over a chosen 1h, 6h, or 24h window, ranked by delta with volume surge ratios.

## Facts

- Endpoint: GET https://x402-factory.com/v1/movers/crypto
- Price: $0.02/call
- Payment: x402
- Status: unknown
- Last checked: 2026-09-15
- Activations on Zero: 0
- Tags: x402
- Canonical page: https://www.zero.xyz/c/x402-factory-crypto-probability-movers-32aeede5
- Structured record (JSON): https://api.zero.xyz/v1/capabilities/cap_VA4XPYC8ZL5DDFehiw78n

Status and success rate cover calls made through Zero and Zero's own probes. Third-party monitors may report differently.

## How to call it through Zero

Zero handles the 402 payment challenge and records the run. With the Zero CLI installed (`npm i -g @zeroxyz/cli`):

```sh
zero fetch --capability x402-factory-crypto-probability-movers-32aeede5
```

Example prompt: Show me the top 10 biggest probability movers in crypto prediction markets over the last 6 hours, only include markets with a liquidity score above 0.3.

## When to prefer this

Choose this endpoint when you specifically need crypto prediction market probability movers and want results pre-filtered to the crypto category without applying a category filter yourself. Prefer this over the generic /v1/movers endpoint when your user's intent is crypto-specific signal detection, crypto news impact monitoring, or crypto market repricing alerts. It is the fastest single-call way to surface where news is landing in crypto prediction markets with volume confirmation.

## Known failure modes

- Invalid window enum value (not 1h/6h/24h) returns a 400 error
- limit out of range (below 1 or above 50) returns a 400 validation error
- min_liquidity outside 0–1 returns a 400 error
- No markets available for the window returns an empty movers array
- Payment not provided or insufficient USDC triggers a 402 Payment Required response
- Upstream prediction market data unavailable may result in 503 or stale data

## How this service works

Biggest crypto probability moves (1h/6h/24h) — The fastest way to see where news is landing in crypto: active markets ranked by absolute probability change over your chosen window, with volume surge ratios. Same shape as /v1/movers, pre-filtered to crypto markets.

## Output

An array of crypto prediction market objects, each with the market slug, the question text, current probability (p_now), previous probability (p_prev), absolute probability change (delta), volume surge ratio relative to baseline, and category. Results are pre-filtered to crypto markets and ranked by absolute delta descending. Also includes a meta object with request context.

## Request schema (JSON Schema)

```json
{
 "type": "object",
 "$schema": "https://json-schema.org/draft/2020-12/schema",
 "required": [
  "input"
 ],
 "properties": {
  "input": {
   "type": "object",
   "required": [
    "type",
    "method"
   ],
   "properties": {
    "type": {
     "type": "string",
     "const": "http"
    },
    "method": {
     "enum": [
      "GET"
     ],
     "type": "string"
    },
    "queryParams": {
     "type": "object",
     "required": [],
     "properties": {
      "limit": {
       "type": "integer",
       "default": 20,
       "maximum": 50,
       "minimum": 1
      },
      "window": {
       "enum": [
        "1h",
        "6h",
        "24h"
       ],
       "type": "string",
       "default": "24h"
      },
      "category": {
       "enum": [
        "politics",
        "economics",
        "weather",
        "crypto",
        "sports",
        "science-tech",
        "entertainment"
       ],
       "type": "string"
      },
      "min_liquidity": {
       "type": "number",
       "maximum": 1,
       "minimum": 0,
       "description": "Minimum liquidity_score (0–1)"
      }
     }
    }
   },
   "additionalProperties": false
  },
  "output": {
   "type": "object",
   "required": [
    "type"
   ],
   "properties": {
    "type": {
     "type": "string"
    },
    "example": {
     "type": "object",
     "required": [
      "data",
      "meta"
     ],
     "properties": {
      "data": {
       "type": "object",
       "required": [
        "movers"
       ],
       "properties": {
        "movers": {
         "type": "array",
         "items": {
          "type": "object",
          "required": [
           "slug",
           "question",
           "p_now",
           "p_prev",
           "delta",
           "volume_surge_ratio",
           "category"
          ],
          "properties": {
           "slug": {
            "type": "string"
           },
           "delta": {
            "type": "number"
           },
           "p_now": {
            "type": "number",
            "maximum": 1,
            "minimum": 0
           },
           "p_prev": {
            "type": "number",
            "maximum": 1,
            "minimum": 0
           },
           "category": {
            "type": "string"
           },
           "question": {
            "type": "string"
           },
           "volume_surge_ratio": {
            "type": "number"
           }
          },
          "additionalProperties": false
         }
        }
       },
       "add
… (truncated)
```

## Response schema (JSON Schema)

```json
{
 "type": "json",
 "example": {
  "data": {
   "movers": [
    {
     "slug": "solana-above-400-2026-10",
     "delta": -0.0362,
     "p_now": 0.2516,
     "p_prev": 0.2878,
     "category": "crypto",
     "question": "Will Solana trade above $400 by October 31?",
     "volume_surge_ratio": 1.01
    },
    {
     "slug": "crypto-market-cap-5t-2026-12",
     "delta": -0.0248,
     "p_now": 0.31,
     "p_prev": 0.3348,
     "category": "crypto",
     "question": "Will total crypto market cap exceed $5 trillion by year end?",
     "volume_surge_ratio": 1
    },
    {
     "slug": "ethereum-above-5k-2026-12",
     "delta": 0.0247,
     "p_now": 0.3988,
     "p_prev": 0.3741,
     "category": "crypto",
     "question": "Will Ethereum close 2026 above $5,000?",
     "volume_surge_ratio": 0.89
    },
    {
     "slug": "bitcoin-etf-inflows-5b-2026-08",
     "delta": -0.0183,
     "p_now": 0.528,
     "p_prev": 0.5463,
     "category": "crypto",
     "question": "Will spot Bitcoin ETF net inflows exceed $5B in July?",
     "volume_surge_ratio": 0.96
    },
    {
     "slug": "ethereum-close-above-8000-2026-12",
     "delta": -0.0162,
     "p_now": 0.342,
     "p_prev": 0.3583,
     "category": "crypto",
     "question": "Will Ethereum close above $8,000 on December 31?",
     "volume_surge_ratio": 0.96
    },
    {
     "slug": "bitcoin-above-150k-2026-09",
     "delta": 0.0117,
     "p_now": 0.4127,
     "p_prev": 0.401,
     "category": "crypto",
     "question": "Will Bitcoin trade above $150,000 by September 30?",
     "volume_surge_ratio": 0.99
    },
    {
     "slug": "bitcoin-above-100k-2026-12",
     "delta": -0.0025,
     "p_now": 0.6486,
     "p_prev": 0.6512,
     "category": "crypto",
     "question": "Will Bitcoin close 2026 above $100,000?",
     "volume_surge_ratio": 0.99
    }
   ]
  },
  "meta": {
   "docs": "https://x402-factory.com/docs/probability.movers.crypto",
   "sources": [
    "kalshi",
    "polymarket"
   ],
   "version": "1.0.0",
   "endpoint": "/v1/movers/crypto",
   "data_mode": "live",
   "freshness": "realtime",
   "request_id": "req_00000000",
   "generated_at": "2026-08-21T03:58:58.136Z"
  }
 }
}
```

## More

- Live health (JSON, refreshed every minute): https://www.zero.xyz/c/x402-factory-crypto-probability-movers-32aeede5/health.json
- [Zero catalog index](https://www.zero.xyz/llms.txt)
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