# x402-factory Fed Next Meeting Rate Cut Probability

> x402-factory Fed Next Meeting Rate Cut Probability is a paid API for AI agents from x402-factory.com, paid per call via x402, $0.02/call, status unknown (last checked 2026-09-14).

Returns live, aggregated prediction-market probability that the Fed will cut rates at its next FOMC meeting, sourced from Kalshi and Polymarket with per-venue breakdowns.

## Facts

- Endpoint: GET https://x402-factory.com/v1/evergreen/fed-next-meeting-cut
- Price: $0.02/call
- Payment: x402
- Status: unknown
- Last checked: 2026-09-14
- Activations on Zero: 0
- Tags: x402
- Canonical page: https://www.zero.xyz/c/x402-factory-fed-next-meeting-rate-cut-probability-303df7e9
- Structured record (JSON): https://api.zero.xyz/v1/capabilities/cap_Bi45TlmT9xAO_jb9l6tM7

Status and success rate cover calls made through Zero and Zero's own probes. Third-party monitors may report differently.

## How to call it through Zero

Zero handles the 402 payment challenge and records the run. With the Zero CLI installed (`npm i -g @zeroxyz/cli`):

```sh
zero fetch --capability x402-factory-fed-next-meeting-rate-cut-probability-303df7e9
```

Example prompt: What are the current prediction-market odds of the Fed cutting rates at its next FOMC meeting — give me the Kalshi and Polymarket probabilities side by side, plus the overall consensus and how much they diverge?

## When to prefer this

Choose this endpoint when you need a single, aggregated, real-time view of prediction-market odds on Fed rate cuts sourced from multiple venues (Kalshi + Polymarket). It is preferable to scraping individual venue APIs because it normalises liquidity, volume, and divergence into one response and auto-rolls to the next active contract. Use it for macro dashboards, trading signals, research reports, or agent workflows that need structured monetary-policy probability data without managing multi-venue API integrations.

## Known failure modes

- No active FOMC meeting contract (e.g. between meetings): may return stale or rolled slug
- Venue API outage: one or both per-venue entries may be missing or stale
- Payment not included: returns HTTP 402 with USDC payment requirements before data is served
- Malformed X-PAYMENT header: returns 402 or 400 error
- Rate limit exceeded: returns 429

## How this service works

Live probability: Will the Fed cut rates at its next FOMC meeting? — Stable evergreen URL for a recurring question: Will the Fed cut rates at its next FOMC meeting? Auto-resolves to the current market instance and rolls forward on resolution, so the answer is always about the next occurrence. Response adds current_slug and rolls_to_next_at to the standard probability shape.

## Output

A JSON object containing: an aggregated consensus probability, per-venue implied probabilities with 24h USD volume and liquidity scores for Kalshi and Polymarket, the divergence between venues, the 1h price change, the resolution date of the active contract, and metadata including data freshness (realtime), sources, and a link to full endpoint docs.

## Request schema (JSON Schema)

```json
{
 "type": "object",
 "properties": {
  "properties": {
   "type": "string"
  }
 }
}
```

## Response schema (JSON Schema)

```json
{
 "type": "json",
 "example": {
  "data": {
   "slug": "fed-rate-cut-2026-09",
   "topic": "fed-next-meeting-cut",
   "category": "economics",
   "question": "Will the Fed cut rates at the September 2026 FOMC meeting?",
   "per_venue": [
    {
     "venue": "kalshi",
     "implied_p": 0.7359,
     "market_id": "KXFEDRATECUT2026",
     "volume_24h_usd": 204455.43,
     "liquidity_score": 0.947
    },
    {
     "venue": "polymarket",
     "implied_p": 0.7264,
     "market_id": "fed-rate-cut-2026-09",
     "volume_24h_usd": 249729.17,
     "liquidity_score": 0.98
    }
   ],
   "divergence": 0.0095,
   "probability": 0.7301,
   "current_slug": "fed-rate-cut-2026-09",
   "last_move_1h": -0.001,
   "topic_question": "Will the Fed cut rates at its next FOMC meeting?",
   "resolution_date": "2026-09-16",
   "rolls_to_next_at": "2026-09-16",
   "resolution_criteria_summary": "Resolves YES if the target range upper bound is lowered at the Sep 15–16 meeting."
  },
  "meta": {
   "docs": "https://x402-factory.com/docs/probability.evergreen.fed-next-meeting-cut",
   "sources": [
    "kalshi",
    "polymarket"
   ],
   "version": "1.0.0",
   "endpoint": "/v1/evergreen/fed-next-meeting-cut",
   "data_mode": "live",
   "freshness": "realtime",
   "request_id": "req_00000000",
   "generated_at": "2026-08-21T03:58:58.087Z"
  }
 }
}
```

## More

- Live health (JSON, refreshed every minute): https://www.zero.xyz/c/x402-factory-fed-next-meeting-rate-cut-probability-303df7e9/health.json
- [Zero catalog index](https://www.zero.xyz/llms.txt)
- [Other services from x402-factory.com](https://www.zero.xyz/host/x402-factory.com/llms.txt)