# x402-factory: Major AI Regulation Federal Law This Year — Live Prediction Market Probability

> x402-factory: Major AI Regulation Federal Law This Year — Live Prediction Market Probability is a paid API for AI agents from x402-factory.com, paid per call via x402, $0.02/call, status unknown (last checked 2026-09-14).

Returns live aggregated prediction-market probability for whether major federal AI regulation will become law in the current year, with per-venue breakdowns from Kalshi and Polymarket.

## Facts

- Endpoint: GET https://x402-factory.com/v1/evergreen/major-ai-regulation-federal-law-this-year
- Price: $0.02/call
- Payment: x402
- Status: unknown
- Last checked: 2026-09-14
- Activations on Zero: 0
- Tags: x402
- Canonical page: https://www.zero.xyz/c/x402-factory-major-ai-regulation-federal-law-this-year-live-3b5f2199
- Structured record (JSON): https://api.zero.xyz/v1/capabilities/cap__brWBaqcHBX5BUAPI4vAs

Status and success rate cover calls made through Zero and Zero's own probes. Third-party monitors may report differently.

## How to call it through Zero

Zero handles the 402 payment challenge and records the run. With the Zero CLI installed (`npm i -g @zeroxyz/cli`):

```sh
zero fetch --capability x402-factory-major-ai-regulation-federal-law-this-year-live-3b5f2199
```

Example prompt: What are the current prediction market odds that major federal AI regulation will become law this year — give me the aggregated probability and the Kalshi vs Polymarket breakdown?

## When to prefer this

Use this endpoint when you need a real-time, aggregated, multi-venue prediction-market probability specifically for major federal AI regulation becoming law in the current year. Prefer this over manually querying Kalshi or Polymarket separately when you want normalized cross-venue divergence and liquidity scores in a single call. Best for AI policy monitoring, regulatory risk assessment, and legislative forecasting workflows that require machine-readable, paid-tier data freshness.

## Known failure modes

- 402 Payment Required — call without X-PAYMENT header returns payment requirements in JSON, must retry with valid USDC payment on Base
- Market data unavailable if upstream Kalshi/Polymarket feeds are delayed or down
- Stale data if real-time feed is interrupted (check generated_at in meta)
- Malformed payment header results in payment rejection
- No schema input parameters — endpoint is fixed and takes no query parameters

## How this service works

Paid data APIs for AI agents: prediction-market analytics, weather intelligence, weather×market edge signals, and SEC/gov data. Paid endpoints use the x402 protocol (HTTP 402 + USDC on Base): call without payment to receive requirements, retry with an X-PAYMENT header. Machine-readable catalog: /llms.txt. Per-endpoint docs: /docs/{id}.

## Output

A JSON object with the aggregated implied probability across Kalshi and Polymarket, per-venue breakdowns (implied_p, market_id, 24h volume in USD, liquidity score), the divergence between venues, the last 1-hour price move, the topic question, resolution date, resolution criteria summary, and metadata including data freshness and request ID.

## Request schema (JSON Schema)

```json
{
 "type": "object",
 "properties": {
  "properties": {
   "type": "string"
  }
 }
}
```

## Response schema (JSON Schema)

```json
{
 "type": "json",
 "example": {
  "data": {
   "slug": "federal-ai-regulation-law-2026",
   "topic": "major-ai-regulation-federal-law-this-year",
   "category": "science-tech",
   "question": "Will major federal AI regulation become law in 2026?",
   "per_venue": [
    {
     "venue": "kalshi",
     "implied_p": 0.136,
     "market_id": "KXFEDERALAIREGUL",
     "volume_24h_usd": 27132.14,
     "liquidity_score": 0.855
    },
    {
     "venue": "polymarket",
     "implied_p": 0.1092,
     "market_id": "federal-ai-regulation-law-2026",
     "volume_24h_usd": 39500.19,
     "liquidity_score": 0.86
    }
   ],
   "divergence": 0.0268,
   "probability": 0.1221,
   "current_slug": "federal-ai-regulation-law-2026",
   "last_move_1h": -0.0038,
   "topic_question": "Will major federal AI regulation become law this year?",
   "resolution_date": "2026-12-31",
   "rolls_to_next_at": "2026-12-31",
   "resolution_criteria_summary": "Resolves YES if a comprehensive federal AI bill is signed into law during 2026."
  },
  "meta": {
   "docs": "https://x402-factory.com/docs/probability.evergreen.major-ai-regulation-federal-law-this-year",
   "sources": [
    "kalshi",
    "polymarket"
   ],
   "version": "1.0.0",
   "endpoint": "/v1/evergreen/major-ai-regulation-federal-law-this-year",
   "data_mode": "live",
   "freshness": "realtime",
   "request_id": "req_00000000",
   "generated_at": "2026-08-21T03:58:58.090Z"
  }
 }
}
```

## More

- Live health (JSON, refreshed every minute): https://www.zero.xyz/c/x402-factory-major-ai-regulation-federal-law-this-year-live-3b5f2199/health.json
- [Zero catalog index](https://www.zero.xyz/llms.txt)
- [Other services from x402-factory.com](https://www.zero.xyz/host/x402-factory.com/llms.txt)