# x402-factory Next NFP Above Consensus Probability

> x402-factory Next NFP Above Consensus Probability is a paid API for AI agents from x402-factory.com, paid per call via x402, $0.02/call, status unknown (last checked 2026-09-14).

Returns the live prediction-market probability that the next nonfarm payrolls (NFP) report will beat consensus expectations, aggregated from venues like Kalshi and Polymarket.

## Facts

- Endpoint: GET https://x402-factory.com/v1/evergreen/next-nfp-above-consensus
- Price: $0.02/call
- Payment: x402
- Status: unknown
- Last checked: 2026-09-14
- Activations on Zero: 0
- Tags: x402
- Canonical page: https://www.zero.xyz/c/x402-factory-next-nfp-above-consensus-probability-864e5d34
- Structured record (JSON): https://api.zero.xyz/v1/capabilities/cap_xpqQ-K7UrZO8m7N6iGdRY

Status and success rate cover calls made through Zero and Zero's own probes. Third-party monitors may report differently.

## How to call it through Zero

Zero handles the 402 payment challenge and records the run. With the Zero CLI installed (`npm i -g @zeroxyz/cli`):

```sh
zero fetch --capability x402-factory-next-nfp-above-consensus-probability-864e5d34
```

Example prompt: What are the current prediction market odds that the next nonfarm payrolls report will beat consensus expectations — give me the implied probability and where it's trading?

## When to prefer this

Use this endpoint when you need a real-time, aggregated prediction-market probability specifically for the next NFP report beating consensus, sourced from multiple venues (Kalshi, Polymarket) with liquidity scoring. Prefer this over scraping individual market sites, manually checking Kalshi, or using lagged economic forecasts. It is ideal for macro-aware AI agents that need a single authoritative number on labor market sentiment before a jobs release.

## Known failure modes

- Payment not provided: returns HTTP 402 with X-PAYMENT-REQUIRED header detailing USDC amount and Base chain payment details
- No active market found: may return empty per_venue array if no prediction market is currently listed for the next NFP event
- Stale data: if upstream venues are temporarily unavailable, freshness field may lag behind real-time
- Invalid or malformed request: returns 4xx error if headers are malformed

## How this service works

Paid data APIs for AI agents: prediction-market analytics, weather intelligence, weather×market edge signals, and SEC/gov data. Paid endpoints use the x402 protocol (HTTP 402 + USDC on Base): call without payment to receive requirements, retry with an X-PAYMENT header. Machine-readable catalog: /llms.txt. Per-endpoint docs: /docs/{id}.

## Output

Returns a JSON object containing the aggregated implied probability (e.g. 0.4628) that the next NFP report beats consensus, broken down by prediction market venue (Kalshi, Polymarket) with per-venue implied probability, market ID, 24h USD volume, and liquidity score. Also includes the 1-hour price move, divergence across venues, resolution date, roll-to-next date, and metadata about data freshness and sources.

## Request schema (JSON Schema)

```json
{
 "type": "object",
 "properties": {
  "properties": {
   "type": "string"
  }
 }
}
```

## Response schema (JSON Schema)

```json
{
 "type": "json",
 "example": {
  "data": {
   "slug": "nfp-beat-august-2026",
   "topic": "next-nfp-above-consensus",
   "category": "economics",
   "question": "Will the August 2026 jobs report beat consensus expectations?",
   "per_venue": [
    {
     "venue": "kalshi",
     "implied_p": 0.4628,
     "market_id": "KXNFPBEATAUGUST2",
     "volume_24h_usd": 35595.57,
     "liquidity_score": 0.836
    }
   ],
   "divergence": 0,
   "probability": 0.4628,
   "current_slug": "nfp-beat-august-2026",
   "last_move_1h": 0.0043,
   "topic_question": "Will the next jobs report beat consensus?",
   "resolution_date": "2026-09-04",
   "rolls_to_next_at": "2026-09-04",
   "resolution_criteria_summary": "Resolves YES if nonfarm payrolls exceed the surveyed consensus estimate."
  },
  "meta": {
   "docs": "https://x402-factory.com/docs/probability.evergreen.next-nfp-above-consensus",
   "sources": [
    "kalshi",
    "polymarket"
   ],
   "version": "1.0.0",
   "endpoint": "/v1/evergreen/next-nfp-above-consensus",
   "data_mode": "live",
   "freshness": "realtime",
   "request_id": "req_00000000",
   "generated_at": "2026-08-21T03:58:58.094Z"
  }
 }
}
```

## More

- Live health (JSON, refreshed every minute): https://www.zero.xyz/c/x402-factory-next-nfp-above-consensus-probability-864e5d34/health.json
- [Zero catalog index](https://www.zero.xyz/llms.txt)
- [Other services from x402-factory.com](https://www.zero.xyz/host/x402-factory.com/llms.txt)