# x402-factory OPEC+ Production Cut Probability (Evergreen)

> x402-factory OPEC+ Production Cut Probability (Evergreen) is a paid API for AI agents from x402-factory.com, paid per call via x402, $0.02/call, status unknown (last checked 2026-09-15).

Returns real-time prediction-market probability that OPEC+ will announce a production cut at its next scheduled meeting, aggregated from Polymarket and Kalshi.

## Facts

- Endpoint: GET https://x402-factory.com/v1/evergreen/opec-cut-next-meeting
- Price: $0.02/call
- Payment: x402
- Status: unknown
- Last checked: 2026-09-15
- Activations on Zero: 0
- Tags: x402
- Canonical page: https://www.zero.xyz/c/x402-factory-opec-production-cut-probability-evergreen-bcb23fbb
- Structured record (JSON): https://api.zero.xyz/v1/capabilities/cap_eNbHIa6rfsl2hnXCekqQy

Status and success rate cover calls made through Zero and Zero's own probes. Third-party monitors may report differently.

## How to call it through Zero

Zero handles the 402 payment challenge and records the run. With the Zero CLI installed (`npm i -g @zeroxyz/cli`):

```sh
zero fetch --capability x402-factory-opec-production-cut-probability-evergreen-bcb23fbb
```

Example prompt: What's the current prediction market probability that OPEC+ will announce a production cut at their next meeting, and has it moved in the last hour?

## When to prefer this

Choose this endpoint when you need a single, normalized, real-time market-implied probability for OPEC+ production cut decisions, sourced from multiple prediction markets (Polymarket + Kalshi) with liquidity and volume metadata. Prefer this over manually querying Polymarket or Kalshi directly when you want aggregated divergence signals and an always-current evergreen slug that auto-rolls to the next meeting. Best for energy trading signals, macro research, and agent workflows that need a machine-readable probability without scraping prediction market UIs.

## Known failure modes

- HTTP 402 returned when no X-PAYMENT header is present — agent must retry with USDC payment on Base
- Market not yet available for next meeting if OPEC schedule is unclear — stale slug or empty per_venue array
- Low liquidity_score if market has thin order books close to resolution
- Network timeout if upstream Polymarket/Kalshi APIs are slow
- Probability may lag brief news events by minutes due to aggregation latency

## How this service works

Paid data APIs for AI agents: prediction-market analytics, weather intelligence, weather×market edge signals, and SEC/gov data. Paid endpoints use the x402 protocol (HTTP 402 + USDC on Base): call without payment to receive requirements, retry with an X-PAYMENT header. Machine-readable catalog: /llms.txt. Per-endpoint docs: /docs/{id}.

## Output

Returns a JSON object with the aggregated prediction-market probability (0–1) that OPEC+ will announce a production cut at its next meeting, including per-venue breakdown (Polymarket, Kalshi) with implied probability, 24h volume, and liquidity score; 1-hour price move; divergence across venues; resolution date; rolling slug for the current contract; and a plain-English resolution criteria summary. Metadata includes data freshness (realtime), sources, and a link to full docs.

## Request schema (JSON Schema)

```json
{
 "type": "object",
 "properties": {
  "properties": {
   "type": "string"
  }
 }
}
```

## Response schema (JSON Schema)

```json
{
 "type": "json",
 "example": {
  "data": {
   "slug": "opec-production-cut-2026-08",
   "topic": "opec-cut-next-meeting",
   "category": "economics",
   "question": "Will OPEC+ announce a production cut at its August 2026 meeting?",
   "per_venue": [
    {
     "venue": "polymarket",
     "implied_p": 0.2443,
     "market_id": "opec-production-cut-2026-08",
     "volume_24h_usd": 72447.95,
     "liquidity_score": 0.858
    }
   ],
   "divergence": 0,
   "probability": 0.2443,
   "current_slug": "opec-production-cut-2026-08",
   "last_move_1h": -0.0058,
   "topic_question": "Will OPEC+ cut production at its next meeting?",
   "resolution_date": "2026-08-03",
   "rolls_to_next_at": "2026-08-03",
   "resolution_criteria_summary": "Resolves YES on an announced reduction to collective production targets."
  },
  "meta": {
   "docs": "https://x402-factory.com/docs/probability.evergreen.opec-cut-next-meeting",
   "sources": [
    "kalshi",
    "polymarket"
   ],
   "version": "1.0.0",
   "endpoint": "/v1/evergreen/opec-cut-next-meeting",
   "data_mode": "live",
   "freshness": "realtime",
   "request_id": "req_00000000",
   "generated_at": "2026-08-21T03:58:58.094Z"
  }
 }
}
```

## More

- Live health (JSON, refreshed every minute): https://www.zero.xyz/c/x402-factory-opec-production-cut-probability-evergreen-bcb23fbb/health.json
- [Zero catalog index](https://www.zero.xyz/llms.txt)
- [Other services from x402-factory.com](https://www.zero.xyz/host/x402-factory.com/llms.txt)