# Minara AI Prediction Market Analyzer

> Minara AI Prediction Market Analyzer is a paid API for AI agents from x402.minara.ai, paid per call via x402, $0.2/call, status unknown (last checked 2026-09-15).

Analyzes prediction market events using AI and returns probability estimates for each possible outcome with detailed reasoning.

## Facts

- Endpoint: POST https://x402.minara.ai/x402/prediction-market-ask
- Price: $0.2/call
- Payment: x402
- Status: unknown
- Last checked: 2026-09-15
- Activations on Zero: 0
- Tags: x402
- Canonical page: https://www.zero.xyz/c/x402-minara-ai-0348fb91
- Structured record (JSON): https://api.zero.xyz/v1/capabilities/cap_XGMk-nsk54NxU6kKLXZAs

Status and success rate cover calls made through Zero and Zero's own probes. Third-party monitors may report differently.

## How to call it through Zero

Zero handles the 402 payment challenge and records the run. With the Zero CLI installed (`npm i -g @zeroxyz/cli`):

```sh
zero fetch --capability x402-minara-ai-0348fb91 -d '<json body>'
```

Example prompt: Analyze this prediction market event for me: 'Will the Federal Reserve cut interest rates before July 2025?' — give me AI-estimated probabilities for each outcome (Yes/No) with detailed reasoning.

## When to prefer this

Use this endpoint when you need AI-powered probability analysis and reasoning for prediction market events, especially when you want not just a number but a detailed explanation of why each outcome has a given probability. Prefer this over manual research when speed and AI synthesis are needed.

## Known failure modes

- Insufficient event description leads to vague or low-confidence estimates
- Ambiguous outcome definitions may result in inaccurate probability splits
- Event outside AI's knowledge cutoff may reduce reasoning quality
- Malformed request body returns 4xx error
- Payment failure or insufficient USDC balance returns 402 Payment Required

## How this service works

AI-powered prediction market analysis. Analyze prediction market events and get probability estimates for each outcome with detailed reasoning.

## Output

Returns AI-generated probability estimates for each outcome of the prediction market event, along with detailed reasoning explaining the analysis and factors considered.

## Request schema (JSON Schema)

```json
{
 "type": "object",
 "required": [
  "link",
  "mode"
 ],
 "properties": {
  "link": {
   "type": "string",
   "description": "Prediction market page link (e.g., Polymarket event URL)"
  },
  "mode": {
   "enum": [
    "fast",
    "expert"
   ],
   "type": "string",
   "description": "Chat mode: fast or expert"
  },
  "only_result": {
   "type": "boolean",
   "description": "Only return prediction probabilities without reasoning, default to false"
  },
  "customPrompt": {
   "type": "string",
   "description": "Custom instructions to guide the analysis. Use this to specify focus areas, risk preferences, or analysis style."
  }
 }
}
```

## Response schema (JSON Schema)

```json
{
 "properties": {
  "reasoning": {
   "type": "string",
   "description": "AI reasoning and analysis (empty if only_result=true)"
  },
  "predictions": {
   "type": "array",
   "items": {
    "type": "object",
    "properties": {
     "noProb": {
      "type": "number",
      "description": "Probability of NO for this outcome (0-1)"
     },
     "outcome": {
      "type": "string",
      "description": "Outcome name (event option, e.g., candidate name, team name)"
     },
     "yesProb": {
      "type": "number",
      "description": "Probability of YES for this outcome (0-1)"
     }
    }
   },
   "description": "Array of prediction outcomes. Each outcome represents an event option with its yes/no probabilities."
  }
 },
 "description": "Prediction market analysis result"
}
```

## More

- Live health (JSON, refreshed every minute): https://www.zero.xyz/c/x402-minara-ai-0348fb91/health.json
- [Zero catalog index](https://www.zero.xyz/llms.txt)
- [Other services from x402.minara.ai](https://www.zero.xyz/host/x402.minara.ai/llms.txt)