# Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed

> Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed is a paid API for AI agents from x402broker.com, paid per call via MPP, $0.01/call, status unknown (last checked 2026-10-21).

Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for a given topic or event keyword.

## Facts

- Endpoint: GET https://x402broker.com/v1/prediction-markets?utm_source=zero.xyz
- Price: $0.01/call
- Payment: MPP
- Status: unknown
- Last checked: 2026-10-21
- Activations on Zero: 0
- Provider: x402broker.com
- Website: https://x402broker.com
- Canonical page: https://www.zero.xyz/c/x402broker-com-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-implied-e07448ae
- Structured record (JSON): https://api.zero.xyz/v1/capabilities/cap_U57yWXjWuj_6z418A2n2N

Status and success rate cover calls made through Zero and Zero's own probes. Third-party monitors may report differently.

## How to call it through Zero

Zero handles the 402 payment challenge and records the run. With the Zero CLI installed (`npm i -g @zeroxyz/cli`):

```sh
zero fetch --capability x402broker-com-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-implied-e07448ae
```

Example prompt: What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities for 'Will the Fed cut rates in 2025?' — including volume and any whale sentiment signals?

## When to prefer this

Choose this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates and orderbook-level sentiment for macro, crypto, political, or AI events from Polymarket specifically — particularly when implied probabilities, whale positioning, and live volume are needed rather than news sentiment or analyst forecasts.

## Known failure modes

- No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic — returns empty or null results
- Polymarket API unavailable or rate-limited — upstream data fetch fails
- Ambiguous topic string matching multiple unrelated markets — may return mixed or irrelevant results
- Payment failure via x402 protocol — request not processed
- Topic too vague to match any active market

## How this service works

Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://x402broker.com/v1/prediction-markets)

## Output

Returns a structured object containing live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities, market volume, and whale sentiment signals for relevant macro, crypto, or AI prediction market events.

## Request schema (JSON Schema)

```json
{
 "type": "object",
 "required": [
  "topic"
 ],
 "properties": {
  "topic": {
   "type": "string",
   "minLength": 1,
   "description": "Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"
  }
 }
}
```

## Response schema (JSON Schema)

```json
{
 "type": "object"
}
```

## More

- Live health (JSON, refreshed every minute): https://www.zero.xyz/c/x402broker-com-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-implied-e07448ae/health.json
- [Zero catalog index](https://www.zero.xyz/llms.txt)
- [Other services from x402broker.com](https://www.zero.xyz/host/x402broker.com/llms.txt)
