# x402Pulse Polymarket Smart Money Disagreements

> x402Pulse Polymarket Smart Money Disagreements is a paid API for AI agents from www.x402pulse.dev, paid per call via x402, $0.175/call, status unknown (last checked 2026-10-12).

Scans the 30 busiest open Polymarket markets every 15 minutes and returns those where skilled traders' implied probabilities diverge significantly from the listed odds, with confidence ratings.

## Facts

- Endpoint: GET https://www.x402pulse.dev/v1/disagreements?utm_source=zero.xyz
- Price: $0.175/call
- Payment: x402
- Status: unknown
- Last checked: 2026-10-12
- Activations on Zero: 0
- Tags: x402
- Canonical page: https://www.zero.xyz/c/x402pulse-polymarket-smart-money-disagreements-c0596e26
- Structured record (JSON): https://api.zero.xyz/v1/capabilities/cap_4J0CwJetW0MGYHb-T_ESm

Status and success rate cover calls made through Zero and Zero's own probes. Third-party monitors may report differently.

## How to call it through Zero

Zero handles the 402 payment challenge and records the run. With the Zero CLI installed (`npm i -g @zeroxyz/cli`):

```sh
zero fetch --capability x402pulse-polymarket-smart-money-disagreements-c0596e26
```

Example prompt: Show me the top 10 Polymarket markets right now where skilled traders' implied odds disagree with the market price — only crypto and politics categories, and tell me which ones have a high confidence rating.

## When to prefer this

Use this endpoint when you need a pre-filtered, confidence-rated signal of smart money vs. market price divergence on Polymarket, updated every 15 minutes, without having to scan all markets yourself. Prefer this over raw Polymarket data when the goal is actionable disagreement signals from skilled traders, not raw volume or price data. If you need a specific trader's scorecard or the leaderboard, use sibling endpoints instead.

## Known failure modes

- No markets currently show significant smart money disagreement — returns empty list
- Category filter yields no qualifying markets at scan time
- limit parameter out of range (must be 1–20) returns validation error
- Stale data if Polymarket API is temporarily unavailable — results may lag beyond 15-minute refresh
- category enum value not recognized returns 400 error

## How this service works

Polymarket markets where smart money disagrees with the odds: scans the 30 busiest open markets every 15 minutes and returns those where skilled traders' money implies a different probability than the price, tempered against thin evidence, with a low, medium or high confidence rating. Data, not investment advice.

## Output

A list of Polymarket markets (up to the requested limit) where skilled traders' weighted positions imply a meaningfully different probability than the current market odds, each entry including the market name, category, smart-money implied probability, current market price/probability, magnitude of disagreement, and a low/medium/high confidence rating reflecting the strength of evidence behind the signal.

## Request schema (JSON Schema)

```json
{
 "type": "object",
 "$schema": "https://json-schema.org/draft/2020-12/schema",
 "required": [
  "input"
 ],
 "properties": {
  "input": {
   "type": "object",
   "required": [
    "type",
    "method"
   ],
   "properties": {
    "type": {
     "type": "string",
     "const": "http"
    },
    "method": {
     "enum": [
      "GET"
     ],
     "type": "string"
    },
    "queryParams": {
     "type": "object",
     "required": [],
     "properties": {
      "limit": {
       "type": "string",
       "description": "Number of markets, 1 to 20"
      },
      "category": {
       "enum": [
        "sports",
        "politics",
        "crypto",
        "economy",
        "other"
       ],
       "type": "string"
      }
     }
    }
   },
   "additionalProperties": false
  },
  "output": {
   "type": "object",
   "required": [
    "type"
   ],
   "properties": {
    "type": {
     "type": "string"
    },
    "example": {
     "type": "object"
    }
   }
  }
 }
}
```

## Response schema (JSON Schema)

```json
{
 "type": "json",
 "example": {
  "data": {
   "markets": [
    {
     "gap": 0.19,
     "slug": "example-market",
     "summary": "Market prices Yes at 38%; skilled money implies 57%, leaning Yes (medium confidence, 4 skilled holders).",
     "category": "politics",
     "priceYes": 0.38,
     "question": "Example market?",
     "confidence": "medium",
     "skilledUsd": 120000,
     "skilledHolders": 4,
     "skilledYesShare": 0.57,
     "rawSkilledYesShare": 0.81
    }
   ],
   "category": null,
   "scannedAt": "2026-10-05T12:00:00.000Z",
   "marketsScanned": 30
  },
  "cached": true
 }
}
```

## More

- Live health (JSON, refreshed every minute): https://www.zero.xyz/c/x402pulse-polymarket-smart-money-disagreements-c0596e26/health.json
- [Zero catalog index](https://www.zero.xyz/llms.txt)
- [Other services from www.x402pulse.dev](https://www.zero.xyz/host/www.x402pulse.dev/llms.txt)
