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Match Forecast Probabilities – Dixon-Coles (World Cup 2026)
x402
Match Forecast Probabilities – Dixon-Coles (World Cup 2026) is a paid API for AI agents from agents.machina.gg, paid per call via MPP or x402, $0.12/call, status healthy (last checked 2026-09-14, last successful call 2026-09-03).
Returns Dixon-Coles statistical match outcome probabilities for World Cup fixtures, including model-vs-market differences and de-vigged market probabilities for informational research.
Price / call$0.12
Success100%
StatusHealthy
How this service works
Dixon-Coles match probabilities with model-vs-market differences and de-vigged probabilities. Informational research output with no selection, ranking, or recommendation of wagers.
Output
A JSON object containing Dixon-Coles computed probabilities for each match outcome (home win, draw, away win), corresponding de-vigged market probabilities, and the numerical difference between model and market for each outcome, all grounded in Machina Sports's forecasting engine with no betting selection or recommendation.
Example use cases
Pre-match model vs market research
“Get me the Dixon-Coles forecast probabilities for the Brazil vs Argentina World Cup match and show me where the model disagrees most with the market odds.”
Draw probability deep dive
“What's the statistical probability of a draw in the Germany vs Spain World Cup 2026 group stage game according to the Dixon-Coles model?”
De-vigged market odds comparison
“Pull the de-vigged market probabilities alongside the Dixon-Coles model outputs for the USA vs Mexico World Cup 2026 fixture so I can compare them side by side.”
Technical details
Endpoint
POSThttps://agents.machina.gg/world-cup/v1/get-match-forecastWhen to prefer
Use this endpoint when you need rigorous statistical match outcome probabilities for a specific World Cup 2026 fixture using the Dixon-Coles methodology, especially when you want to compare model-derived probabilities against de-vigged market odds. Prefer this over generic sports data APIs when the user specifically needs a quantitative, model-based forecast grounded in historical backtests and transparent sourcing. This is purely informational and research-oriented — it does not make betting recommendations.
Side effects
- Match identifier not found or not yet scheduled returns a 404 or empty result
- Match not yet in the system (pre-tournament fixtures not yet loaded)
- Malformed POST body returns a 400 validation error
- Market odds not yet available for the fixture returns partial results without model-vs-market difference
- Payment failure or insufficient balance returns a 402 error
Input
Schema · Request body
| Field | Type | Description |
|---|---|---|
| inputrequired | object |
Tags
x402
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