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Crypto ETF Sentinel — Approval Outcome Score
x402
Crypto ETF Sentinel — Approval Outcome Score is a paid API for AI agents from api.cryptoetfsentinel.com, paid per call via x402, $0.5/call, status unknown (last checked 2026-09-14).
Returns a 1-99 approval-likelihood score for each under-review US spot crypto ETF issuer, weighted against historical approved and withdrawn filing baselines
Price / call$0.5
Success—
StatusUnknown
How this service works
Crypto ETF Sentinel — Approval-pattern signal (1-99) per under-review US spot crypto ETF issuer: how closely its filing pattern resembles historically approved vs withdrawn ETFs. Use when you need one comparable signal across all pending crypto ETF filings. A heuristic benchmark, not a probability or prediction.
Output
A list of under-review US spot crypto ETF issuers each carrying a 1-99 approval-outcome score, where higher scores indicate the issuer's filing pattern more closely resembles prior SEC-approved ETFs versus withdrawn ones, with scores weighted against both approved and withdrawn historical baselines.
Example use cases
Example prompt
“Pull the latest approval outcome scores for all under-review US spot crypto ETF issuers — I want to see which ones have filing patterns that look most like the ETFs that got approved historically.”
Technical details
Endpoint
GEThttps://api.cryptoetfsentinel.com/v1/pipeline/outcome-signalsWhen to prefer
Choose this endpoint when you need a quantitative, ranked probability signal for SEC approval of currently pending US spot crypto ETF filings, particularly when comparing multiple issuers simultaneously or integrating a regulatory likelihood score into a financial research workflow. Prefer this over raw SEC filing feeds or comment-letter history endpoints when you want a pre-computed, normalized score rather than raw document data.
Side effects
- No under-review issuers currently exist — empty data array returned
- Payment of 0.5 USDC not completed — 402 Payment Required response
- API key or payment header missing — 401 Unauthorized
- Upstream SEC data unavailable — 503 Service Unavailable
- Rate limit exceeded — 429 Too Many Requests
Input
{
"properties": "approval_likelihood,issuer_name,filing_status"
}Schema · Request body
| Field | Type | Description |
|---|---|---|
| properties | string |
Output
{
"data": [
{
"cik": "0002059135",
"name": "Bitwise Aptos ETF",
"score": 19,
"crypto": "aptos",
"ticker": null,
"factors": [
{
"text": "Review duration longer than most approved ETFs",
"sentiment": "negative"
},
{
"text": "Fewer amendments than typical at this stage",
"sentiment": "neutral"
},
{
"text": "No comment letters after extended review period",
"sentiment": "neutral"
},
{
"text": "Review duration exceeds typical approved range",
"sentiment": "neutral"
}
],
"signals": {
"upload_count": 0,
"corresp_count": 0,
"days_in_review": 470,
"amendment_count": 2,
"avg_response_days": null
},
"pattern_match": "withdrawal_risk"
},
{
"cik": "0002061627",
"name": "21Shares Ondo ETF",
"score": 19,
"crypto": "ondo",
"ticker": null,
"factors": [
{
"text": "Fewer amendments than typical at this stage",
"sentiment": "neutral"
},
{
"text": "No SEC comment letters — common for recent approvals",
"sentiment": "neutral"
},
{
"text": "Review duration exceeds typical approved range",
"sentiment": "neutral"
}
],
"signals": {
"upload_count": 0,
"corresp_count": 0,
"days_in_review": 331,
"amendment_count": 1,
"avg_response_days": null
},
"pattern_match": "withdrawal_risk"
},
{
"cik": "0002083119",
"name": "Canary American-Made Crypto ETF",
"score": 23,
"crypto": "multi",
"ticker": "MRCA",
"factors": [
{
"text": "Fewer amendments than typical at this stage",
"sentiment": "neutral"
},
{
"text": "No SEC comment letters — common for recent approvals",
"sentiment": "neutral"
},
{
"text": "Review duration exceeds typical approved range",
"sentiment": "neutral"
}
],
"signals": {
"upload_count": 0,
"corresp_count": 0,
"days_in_review": 297,
"amendment_count": 1,
"avg_response_days": null
},
"pattern_match": "withdrawal_risk"
},
{
"cik": "0002083106",
"name": "Grayscale Cardano Trust ETF",
"score": 24,
"crypto": "cardano",
"ticker": "GADA",
"factors": [
{
"text": "Fewer amendments than typical at this stage",
"sentiment": "neutral"
},
{
"text": "No SEC comment letters — common for recent approvals",
"sentiment": "neutral"
},
{
"text": "Review duration exceeds typical approved range",
"sentiment": "neutral"
}
],
"signals": {
"upload_count": 0,
"corresp_count": 0,
"days_in_review": 293,
"amendment_count": 1,
"avg_response_days": null
},
"pattern_match": "withdrawal_risk"
},
{
"cik": "0002083137",
"name": "Grayscale Polkadot Trust ETF",
"score": 24,
"crypto": "polkadot",
"ticker": "DOT",
"factors": [
{
"text": "Fewer amendments than typical at this stage",
"sentiment": "neutral"
},
{
"text": "No SEC comment letters — common for recent approvals",
"sentiment": "neutral"
},
{
"text": "Review duration exceeds typical approved range",
"sentiment": "neutral"
}
],
"signals": {
"upload_count": 0,
"corresp_count": 0,
"days_in_review": 293,
"amendment_count": 1,
"avg_response_days": null
},
"pattern_match": "withdrawal_risk"
},
{
"cik": "0002061623",
"name": "21Shares Sei ETF",
"score": 26,
"crypto": "sei",
"ticker": null,
"factors": [
{
"text": "Fewer amendments than typical at this stage",
"sentiment": "neutral"
},
{
"text": "No SEC comment letters — common for recent approvals",
"sentiment": "neutral"
},
{
"text": "Review duration exceeds typical approved range",
"sentiment": "neutral"
}
],
"signals": {
"upload_count": 0,
"corresp_count": 0,
"days_in_review": 294,
"amendment_count": 1,
"avg_response_days": null
},
"pattern_match": "withdrawal_risk"
},
{
"cik": "0002069288",
"name": "Canary Staked CRO ETF",
"score": 36,
"crypto": "cronos",
"ticker": null,
"factors": [
{
"text": "Review duration longer than most approved ETFs",
"sentiment": "negative"
},
{
"text": "Fewer amendments than typical at this stage",
"sentiment": "neutral"
},
{
"text": "No SEC comment letters — common for recent approvals",
"sentiment": "neutral"
},
{
"text": "Review duration exceeds typical approved range",
"sentiment": "neutral"
}
],
"signals": {
"upload_count": 0,
"corresp_count": 0,
"days_in_review": 384,
"amendment_count": 2,
"avg_response_days": null
},
"pattern_match": "withdrawal_risk"
},
{
"cik": "0002103547",
"name": "Morgan Stanley Solana Trust",
"score": 66,
"crypto": "solana",
"ticker": "MSOL",
"factors": [
{
"text": "Initial capitalisation confirmed",
"sentiment": "positive"
},
{
"text": "Product ticker confirmed",
"sentiment": "positive"
},
{
"text": "Listing exchange designated",
"sentiment": "positive"
},
{
"text": "New filing activity detected",
"sentiment": "positive"
},
{
"text": "Early in review — limited prediction data",
"sentiment": "neutral"
}
],
"signals": {
"upload_count": 0,
"corresp_count": 0,
"days_in_review": 163,
"amendment_count": 1,
"avg_response_days": null
},
"pattern_match": "inconclusive"
},
{
"cik": "0002029297",
"name": "Grayscale Bittensor Trust (TAO)",
"score": 66,
"crypto": "bittensor",
"ticker": "GTAO",
"factors": [
{
"text": "Registration materially advanced",
"sentiment": "positive"
},
{
"text": "Product ticker confirmed",
"sentiment": "positive"
},
{
"text": "Listing exchange designated",
"sentiment": "positive"
},
{
"text": "Early in review — limited prediction data",
"sentiment": "neutral"
}
],
"signals": {
"upload_count": 0,
"corresp_count": 0,
"days_in_review": 170,
"amendment_count": 1,
"avg_response_days": null
},
"pattern_match": "inconclusive"
},
{
"cik": "0002103976",
"name": "Morgan Stanley Ethereum Trust",
"score": 66,
"crypto": "ethereum",
"ticker": "MSSE",
"factors": [
{
"text": "Initial capitalisation confirmed",
"sentiment": "positive"
},
{
"text": "Product ticker confirmed",
"sentiment": "positive"
},
{
"text": "Listing exchange designated",
"sentiment": "positive"
},
{
"text": "New filing activity detected",
"sentiment": "positive"
},
{
"text": "Early in review — limited prediction data",
"sentiment": "neutral"
}
],
"signals": {
"upload_count": 0,
"corresp_count": 0,
"days_in_review": 162,
"amendment_count": 1,
"avg_response_days": null
},
"pattern_match": "inconclusive"
},
{
"cik": "0001720265",
"name": "Grayscale Zcash Trust (ZEC)",
"score": 67,
"crypto": "zcash",
"ticker": "ZCSH",
"factors": [
{
"text": "Registration materially advanced",
"sentiment": "positive"
},
{
"text": "Product ticker confirmed",
"sentiment": "positive"
},
{
"text": "Listing exchange designated",
"sentiment": "positive"
},
{
"text": "Fewer amendments than typical at this stage",
"sentiment": "neutral"
},
{
"text": "No SEC comment letters — common for recent approvals",
"sentiment": "neutral"
}
],
"signals": {
"upload_count": 0,
"corresp_count": 0,
"days_in_review": 204,
"amendment_count": 2,
"avg_response_days": null
},
"pattern_match": "inconclusive"
},
{
"cik": "0002040120",
"name": "Grayscale Aave Trust (AAVE)",
"score": 68,
"crypto": "aave",
"ticker": "GAAV",
"factors": [
{
"text": "Registration materially advanced",
"sentiment": "positive"
},
{
"text": "Product ticker confirmed",
"sentiment": "positive"
},
{
"text": "Listing exchange designated",
"sentiment": "positive"
},
{
"text": "New filing activity detected",
"sentiment": "positive"
},
{
"text": "Early in review — limited prediction data",
"sentiment": "neutral"
}
],
"signals": {
"upload_count": 0,
"corresp_count": 0,
"days_in_review": 125,
"amendment_count": 1,
"avg_response_days": null
},
"pattern_match": "inconclusive"
},
{
"cik": "0002025000",
"name": "Grayscale Near Trust (NEAR)",
"score": 68,
"crypto": "near protocol",
"ticker": "GSNR",
"factors": [
{
"text": "Registration materially advanced",
"sentiment": "positive"
},
{
"text": "Product ticker confirmed",
"sentiment": "positive"
},
{
"text": "Listing exchange designated",
"sentiment": "positive"
},
{
"text": "New filing activity detected",
"sentiment": "positive"
},
{
"text": "Early in review — limited prediction data",
"sentiment": "neutral"
}
],
"signals": {
"upload_count": 0,
"corresp_count": 0,
"days_in_review": 149,
"amendment_count": 1,
"avg_response_days": null
},
"pattern_match": "inconclusive"
},
{
"cik": "0002106762",
"name": "Grayscale BNB ETF",
"score": 81,
"crypto": "bnb",
"ticker": "GBNB",
"factors": [
{
"text": "Amendment pace above typical approved rate — positive momentum",
"sentiment": "positive"
},
{
"text": "Cohort momentum still active",
"sentiment": "positive"
},
{
"text": "Registration materially advanced",
"sentiment": "positive"
},
{
"text": "Initial capitalisation confirmed",
"sentiment": "positive"
},
{
"text": "Product ticker confirmed",
"sentiment": "positive"
}
],
"signals": {
"upload_count": 0,
"corresp_count": 0,
"days_in_review": 146,
"amendment_count": 3,
"avg_response_days": null
},
"pattern_match": "approval_likely"
},
{
"cik": "0002089855",
"name": "T. Rowe Price Active Crypto ETF",
"score": 85,
"crypto": "multi",
"ticker": null,
"factors": [
{
"text": "Trading infrastructure arrangements in place",
"sentiment": "positive"
},
{
"text": "Registration materially advanced",
"sentiment": "positive"
},
{
"text": "Filing amendments at a pace consistent with approved ETFs",
"sentiment": "neutral"
},
{
"text": "No SEC comment letters — common for recent approvals",
"sentiment": "neutral"
},
{
"text": "Review duration exceeds typical approved range",
"sentiment": "neutral"
}
],
"signals": {
"upload_count": 0,
"corresp_count": 0,
"days_in_review": 239,
"amendment_count": 5,
"avg_response_days": null
},
"pattern_match": "approval_likely"
}
],
"meta": {
"note": null,
"page": null,
"limit": null,
"total": 15,
"offset": null,
"full_count": null
},
"error": null
}Schema · Response
{
"type": "json",
"example": {
"data": [
{
"cik": "0002060000",
"name": "Bitwise Hyperliquid ETF",
"crypto": "hyperliquid",
"ticker": null,
"outcome_score": 71
}
],
"meta": {
"total": 1
}
}
}Tags
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