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DripMetrics Polymarket Probability Shock
x402
DripMetrics Polymarket Probability Shock is a paid API for AI agents from api.dripmetrics.ai, paid per call via x402, $0.05/call, status unknown (last checked 2026-09-14).
Measures how large a recent Polymarket price move is relative to recent realized volatility, returning a normalized probability shock score for a given market token or slug.
Price / call$0.05
Success—
StatusUnknown
How this service works
DripMetricsAI (https://dripmetrics.ai/) provides on-demand crypto market microstructure metrics, Hyperliquid candle metrics, Polymarket diagnostics, and on-chain DefiLlama metrics for agents, dashboards, and trading workflows.
Output
A structured JSON object containing the metric name ('probability-shock'), the analysis window, a normalized shock value indicating how many standard deviations the recent price move is from the historical baseline, component breakdown values, sample size, data source, and a computedAt timestamp.
Example use cases
Example prompt
“Check the probability shock on the Polymarket market with slug 'will-trump-win-2024' for the YES outcome using a 60-minute window and a 1440-minute lookback — I want to know if the recent price move is unusually large relative to its historical volatility.”
Technical details
Endpoint
POSThttps://api.dripmetrics.ai/polymarket/probability-shockWhen to prefer
Use this endpoint when you need to detect or quantify abnormal price moves on a specific Polymarket prediction market — particularly for risk alerting, anomaly detection, or news-leakage scoring relative to recent realized volatility. Prefer over raw price feeds when you need a normalized, interpretable shock score rather than raw price levels.
Side effects
- Missing required market identifier (tokenId, assetId, or slug+outcome) returns a 400 validation error
- Invalid or non-existent tokenId/slug returns a 404 or empty result
- Payment not provided or insufficient USDC balance returns a 402 Payment Required
- windowMinutes or lookbackMinutes too small for sufficient data may return a low sampleSize or error
- Polymarket API unavailability may cause upstream data fetch failures
Input
Schema · Request body
| Field | Type | Description |
|---|---|---|
| inputrequired | object | |
| output | object |
Output
Schema · Response
{
"type": "json",
"example": {
"slug": "fed-decision-in-october",
"value": 2.1437,
"metric": "probability-shock",
"source": {
"market": "https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets/slug/fed-decision-in-october",
"priceHistory": "https://clob.polymarket.com/prices-history"
},
"window": {
"windowMinutes": 60,
"lookbackMinutes": 1440
},
"assetId": "52114319501245791867035421127632480533667839244426816785285192633646117989903",
"outcome": "YES",
"tokenId": "52114319501245791867035421127632480533667839244426816785285192633646117989903",
"components": {
"delta": 0.07,
"shockZ": 2.1437,
"priorPrice": 0.54,
"realizedVol": 0.0326,
"currentPrice": 0.61
},
"computedAt": "2026-05-25T14:00:00.000Z",
"sampleSize": {
"pricePoints": 1440
},
"conditionId": "0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917"
}
}Tags
x402
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