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Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed
Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed is a paid API for AI agents from defi-yield.agentdiet.dev, paid per call via MPP, $0.01/call, status unknown (last checked 2026-10-21).
Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, or AI event topic.
Price / call$0.01
Success—
StatusUnknown
How this service works
Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://defi-yield.agentdiet.dev/v1/prediction-markets)
Output
Returns live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes/No probabilities (as percentages or decimals), total trading volume, and whale sentiment indicators — giving a real-time market-consensus probability for the specified event or question.
Example use cases
Crypto event probability check
“What's the current Polymarket implied probability that Ethereum ETF staking gets approved this quarter? Show me the Yes/No odds and trading volume.”
Macro recession market odds
“Pull the live Polymarket odds on whether the US enters a recession in 2025 — I want the implied probabilities and any whale sentiment data.”
AI regulation prediction market
“What are traders on Polymarket betting on for AI regulation passing in the EU this year? Give me the current Yes/No probabilities and orderbook volume.”
Technical details
Endpoint
GEThttps://defi-yield.agentdiet.dev/v1/prediction-markets?utm_source=zero.xyzWhen to prefer
Use this endpoint when you need real-time, crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, political, or AI events as reflected by actual money at risk on Polymarket — superior to news sentiment or analyst forecasts because it reflects financially-committed market consensus. Prefer this over generic news APIs when you need quantified probability (e.g. 73% Yes) rather than qualitative sentiment.
Side effects
- No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or null results
- Stale or delayed data if Polymarket API is temporarily unavailable
- Ambiguous topic keyword matches multiple markets — response may return multiple or unexpected markets
- HTTP 402 payment required if x402 micropayment is not properly submitted
- Rate limiting or timeout if the Polymarket orderbook feed is overloaded
Input
Schema · Request body
| Field | Type | Description |
|---|---|---|
| topicrequired | string | Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds |
Output
Schema · Response
{
"type": "object"
}Reviews
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