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El Niño Market Watch – NoFA Daily Trading Signal
x402
El Niño Market Watch – NoFA Daily Trading Signal is a paid API for AI agents from trading-perps.vercel.app, paid per call via x402, $0.25/call, status unknown (last checked 2026-09-13).
Returns a rules-based LONG/SHORT trading signal across 21 ENSO-sensitive commodity and financial assets, including expected return, historical hit-rate with confidence intervals, CFTC COT crowding penalty, rationale, and live paper portfolio state.
Price / call$0.25
Success—
StatusUnknown
How this service works
Daily NoFA signal from El Niño Market Watch: a deterministic, rules-based LONG/SHORT pick across 21 ENSO-sensitive assets — expected return to the strong-scenario peak, historical hit-rate with Wilson 95% CI, CFTC COT crowding penalty, full rationale, plus the live paper portfolio (NAV, positions, trades). Simulation, not investment advice.
Output
A JSON object containing: the daily LONG/SHORT NoFA signal for up to 21 ENSO-sensitive assets, the expected return to the strong-scenario peak, historical hit-rate with Wilson 95% confidence interval, CFTC COT crowding penalty applied, a human-readable rationale, and the current paper portfolio state including NAV, open positions, recent trades, and equity curve history.
Example use cases
Daily ENSO trade idea briefing
“What's today's NoFA signal from El Niño Market Watch? Give me the top LONG and SHORT picks across the 21 ENSO-sensitive assets, with the expected return and hit-rate confidence intervals.”
Paper portfolio performance check
“How is the El Niño Market Watch paper portfolio doing right now? Show me the current NAV, open positions, and any trades that were made recently.”
Crowding-adjusted signal research
“I'm researching ENSO-driven commodity trades — can you fetch the current El Niño Market Watch signal and include the CFTC COT crowding penalty and the full rationale for the top pick?”
Technical details
Endpoint
GEThttps://trading-perps.vercel.app/api/nofa/signalWhen to prefer
Use this endpoint when you need a single, deterministic daily LONG/SHORT recommendation across ENSO-correlated commodity and financial assets, complete with historical performance statistics, crowding adjustment, and a running paper portfolio — all derived from El Niño/La Niña climate signals. Prefer this over generic trading signal APIs when the user's investment thesis is specifically tied to ENSO weather phenomena, or when you need a rules-based (non-ML) signal with transparent rationale. Not suitable for real-money execution advice.
Side effects
- Payment not included or insufficient — 402 Payment Required, signal not returned
- NOAA/ENSO upstream data unavailable — signal may be stale or endpoint returns error
- Market data source outage — asset-level scores may be missing or incomplete
- Rate limiting or cold-start latency on Vercel serverless — occasional timeout on first call
Input
Schema · Request body
| Field | Type | Description |
|---|---|---|
| inputrequired | object | |
| output | object |
Tags
x402
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