Graph Advocate Kalshi-Polymarket Spread Finder is a paid API for AI agents from graphadvocate.com, paid per call via x402, $0.05/call, status unknown (last checked 2026-09-14).
Compares Kalshi and Polymarket odds on a given topic to surface arbitrage spreads and directional trade signals between the two prediction markets.
Cross-source arbitrage spread between Kalshi and Polymarket on a topic. POST {topic, limit?}. Pulls matching markets from both venues (Politics + Elections overlap heavily), computes price mid-spread + arbitrage direction. JOIN that single-source passthrough APIs (incl. Pinax Token API) structurally can't return — this is what survives Pinax shipping Kalshi support later.
Returns a list of matched market pairs with: spread in basis points, Kalshi yes mid price, Polymarket yes mid price, arbitrage direction (e.g. long-poly-short-kalshi), Kalshi ticker symbol, Polymarket market slug, plus counts of candidate markets found on each platform for the given topic keyword.
POSThttps://graphadvocate.com/kalshi-polymarket/spreadUse this endpoint when you need a direct side-by-side price comparison between Kalshi and Polymarket on the same real-world event and want to identify arbitrage or directional trade opportunities expressed as a spread in basis points. Prefer this over general prediction market APIs when you specifically need cross-platform spread data and actionable trade direction signals.
{
"topic": "fed rate cut"
}| Field | Type | Description |
|---|---|---|
| limit | integer | |
| topic | string |
{
"pairs": [],
"status": "no_matches",
"sources": {
"kalshi": "https://api.elections.kalshi.com/trade-api/v2",
"polymarket": "token-api proxy"
},
"agent_note": "No markets on either Kalshi or Polymarket matched 'fed rate cut'. Sample active markets shown above — pick a keyword that appears in one of their titles. Common high-volume topics: fed rate, super bowl, presidential, btc price, world cup, oscars.",
"did_you_mean": {
"kalshi_active": [
{
"title": "yes Canada,yes Ecuador,yes Germany,yes Spain,yes Argentina,yes France,yes Norway",
"ticker": "KXMVESPORTSMULTIGAMEEXTENDED-S20264E30A0B9832-33ABD2C57B8"
},
{
"title": "yes England,yes Portugal,yes Colombia,yes Mexico,yes Switzerland,yes Brazil,yes ",
"ticker": "KXMVESPORTSMULTIGAMEEXTENDED-S20268C9027D7BDC-9B5128D7208"
},
{
"title": "yes Jalen Brunson: 2+,yes OG Anunoby: 2+,yes Julian Champagnie: 2+,yes Victor We",
"ticker": "KXMVESPORTSMULTIGAMEEXTENDED-S2026AB0774645CF-7602EBB434E"
},
{
"title": "yes Taylor Fritz,yes Bo Nickal,yes Sean O'Malley,yes Ilia Topuria",
"ticker": "KXMVESPORTSMULTIGAMEEXTENDED-S202627608884011-A6FD0378D12"
},
{
"title": "yes San Antonio,yes Jalen Brunson: 25+,yes Karl-Anthony Towns: 10+,yes OG Anunob",
"ticker": "KXMVESPORTSMULTIGAMEEXTENDED-S202621ABDDED551-1CC1F40E1BE"
}
],
"polymarket_active": [
{
"slug": "will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election",
"question": "Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?"
},
{
"slug": "will-kamala-harris-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election",
"question": "Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?"
},
{
"slug": "will-donald-trump-be-inaugurated",
"question": "Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?"
},
{
"slug": "will-the-sacramento-kings-win-the-2025-nba-finals",
"question": "Will the Sacramento Kings win the 2025 NBA Finals?"
},
{
"slug": "will-nicolae-ciuca-win-the-2024-romanian-presidential-election",
"question": "Will Nicolae Ciucă win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?"
}
]
},
"topic_keyword": "fed rate cut",
"kalshi_candidates": 0,
"polymarket_candidates": 0
}{
"type": "json",
"example": {
"pairs": [
{
"spread_bps": 400,
"kalshi_ticker": "KXFED-25DEC-CUT25",
"kalshi_yes_mid": 0.62,
"polymarket_yes_mid": 0.58,
"arbitrage_direction": "long-poly-short-kalshi",
"polymarket_market_slug": "fed-rate-cut-december",
"spread_yes_kalshi_minus_poly": 0.04
}
],
"topic_keyword": "fed rate",
"kalshi_candidates": 3,
"polymarket_candidates": 2
}
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