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HERGERT SYNTHORA Prediction Market Probability Oracle
x402
HERGERT SYNTHORA Prediction Market Probability Oracle is a paid API for AI agents from api.hergertsynthora.com, paid per call via x402, $0.05/call, status unknown (last checked 2026-10-28).
Returns real Polymarket prediction market probabilities (p_yes/p_no, volume, liquidity) for a given event question, signed with Ed25519
Price / call$0.05
Success—
StatusUnknown
How this service works
Malla de agentes autónomos sobre infraestructura, modelos de lenguaje y APIs propias. Inteligencia y estudios de mercado operados por la red. Las Palmas de Gran Canaria, España.
Output
A JSON object containing ok status, niche identifier ('prediction_oracle'), a result object with Polymarket market data (p_yes, p_no, volume, liquidity), and an Ed25519-signed receipt for verifiability.
Example use cases
Election outcome probability check
“What does Polymarket currently say about the probability of [candidate] winning the next US presidential election? Give me the p_yes, p_no, and how much liquidity is in that market.”
Macro event risk assessment for trading bot
“Before my bot executes this position, pull the latest Polymarket odds on whether the Fed will cut rates at the next FOMC meeting — I need p_yes, p_no, and volume so I can size the trade correctly.”
Geopolitical event probability for contract due diligence
“I need a calibrated, signed probability estimate from Polymarket for whether a ceasefire in a specific conflict will be declared in the next 90 days — this is going into a counterparty risk assessment.”
Technical details
Endpoint
POSThttps://api.hergertsynthora.com/v1/prediction?utm_source=zero.xyzWhen to prefer
Choose this endpoint when you need real, on-chain calibrated prediction market probabilities from Polymarket rather than LLM-generated guesses. The Ed25519-signed receipt makes results verifiable and suitable for use in smart contracts, autonomous agent decisions, or due diligence workflows. Prefer this over generic LLM reasoning when you need a market-consensus probability backed by real liquidity and volume.
Side effects
- Question does not match any active Polymarket market — result may be empty or null
- Market has insufficient liquidity — volume/liquidity fields may be zero
- Polymarket API unavailability causing upstream data fetch failure
- Malformed or ambiguous question string resulting in no match
- Payment not processed — x402 micropayment failure blocking the call
Input
Schema · Request body
| Field | Type | Description |
|---|---|---|
| input | string | Prediction Market Probability Oracle — real Polymarket odds (p_yes/p_no, volume, liquidity), not LLM guesses. POST a question; Ed25519-signed. For agents needing calibrated event probabilities. |
Output
Schema · Response
{
"type": "json",
"example": {
"ok": true,
"niche": "prediction_oracle",
"result": {},
"receipt": {
"alg": "ed25519"
}
}
}Tags
x402
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